Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
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Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-27T15:00:05.980Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract, "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET" [1]. It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1].
The rules specify the resolution source as the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, not other sources or spot markets [1]. A reader comparing this contract with a different "Up or Down" market should check whether that market uses the same data stream, the same window, and the same comparison rule. Wording and listed close times can differ, and those differences change what each contract actually measures.
The provider lists the end time as 2026-10-28T13:05:00.000Z [1]. This is the listed close time for the contract. It is not a record of when the market resolved, and the supplied evidence does not include a resolution.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed this market at 2026-10-27T15:00:05.980Z, and the evidence was retrieved at 2026-10-27T16:48:15.465Z [1]. The saved prices were 0.5 for "Up" and 0.5 for "Down" [1]. These are snapshot values from the observation time. They are not current prices, executable quotes, or verified probabilities.
The sample covers one market from one platform. The coverage record lists one total market, one included market, and no partial sample [1]. The data does not show any other outcome for this event, so there is nothing to compare or combine. The supplied evidence also does not include trading volume, liquidity, or the number of traders, and volume would not establish any of those in any case.
Because the two prices are equal in this snapshot, the data shows no difference between the two outcomes at that moment. It does not indicate what happened after the observation time or what will happen in the window.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show prices after 2026-10-27T15:00:05.980Z, so the current price is unknown. The evidence also does not explain the snapshot prices, and it contains no information about any news or events affecting the asset.
Whether the window's TWAP ends at or above the starting price is unknown until the listed end time and the Chainlink data are checked. Because the contract is tied to one data stream and one listed close time, a comparison with a different contract should begin with those rule details rather than with the quoted prices.
References
- Polymarket: Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-27T15:00:05.980Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 27, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-duration contract on the Hyperliquid token price, titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET" and listed in the crypto category on Polymarket [1]. The contract asks whether the price of HYPE/USD over one five-minute window will finish at or above where that window began. The rules say the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The comparison therefore depends on an average across the window rather than on the closing price alone. The resolution data comes from Chainlink's HYPE/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second interval, and the rules state that the market concerns only that Chainlink stream for the HYPE/USD pair, not other sources or spot markets [1]. A trader reading the contract should therefore look at that specific data stream rather than at exchange prices or other quotes for the token. The saved event lists one market with two outcomes, "Up" and "Down" [1]. At the time of the saved observation, both outcomes showed a price of 0.5 [1]. That figure is a snapshot taken when the event data was recorded. It is not an executable quote, a verified probability, or a measure of how many people are trading. The saved event also does not report trading volume, so volume cannot be used to judge liquidity here. The provider lists an end time of 2026-10-28T13:05:00Z, which corresponds to the close of the window in the title [1]. That date is the contract's stated closing time, not evidence of when an external event will occur, and the provider's status field shows the market as active as of the saved record [1]. The evidence does not show the actual resolution outcome.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the time-weighted average HYPE/USD price over the five-minute window from 9:00 AM to 9:05 AM ET on October 28 is at or above the price at the start of that window [1]. Because the resolution rules point to a single Chainlink data stream, the outcome depends on that feed's values alone [1]. The contract is useful for understanding how a short-window price question is defined, including how the start price, the averaging method, and the named data source determine a yes or no style result. The saved snapshot of 0.5 for each side shows how the event was priced when recorded, but it does not indicate which outcome is more likely.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-27 at 15:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What counts as an "Up" resolution?
The market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
What counts as a "Down" resolution?
If the time-weighted average price is not greater than or equal to the starting price, the market resolves to "Down" [1].
Which price source determines the outcome?
The rules name the Chainlink HYPE/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second interval as the resolution source and state that other sources or spot markets are not used [1].
What does the 0.5 price shown for each outcome mean?
The saved event recorded both the Up and Down outcomes at 0.5 at the time of observation [1]. This is a snapshot of the event data, not an executable quote or a verified probability.
When is this contract scheduled to close?
The provider lists the end time as 2026-10-28T13:05:00Z, which matches the end of the 9:00 AM to 9:05 AM ET window in the title [1]. The evidence does not show how or when the market actually resolved.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.