What will MrBeast say during his next YouTube video?
PM $829.71
1
13
What will MrBeast say during his next YouTube video?
PM $829.71
1
13
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $829.71
Reported volume · provider units
13
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
About This Event
MrBeast releases videos on https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mr Beast says the listed term during the next video he releases on YouTube. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no such video is posted by MrBeast by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the released video from (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast). Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Snapshot observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This event, "What will MrBeast say during his next YouTube video?", contains separate markets, each asking whether a specific term is said in a single video [1]. The rules state that a market "will resolve to "Yes" if Mr Beast says the listed term during the next video he releases on YouTube. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No"." [1] Shorts, previews, and other videos do not count [1].
The rules also set a fallback. If no qualifying video is posted "by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET," the "-No Qualifying Event-" bracket resolves to "Yes" [1]. This is a deadline written into the rules, not an announced release date.
Wording differs between markets. Some ask about a single mention, such as "Challenge," while others require repetition, such as "Dollar" 10+ times, or group several terms, such as "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" 10+ times [1].
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-15T18:45:49.923Z [1]. They describe that moment only. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities. Each market lists an end time of 2026-10-18T03:59:00.000Z [1].
In the included sample, the highest Yes price is 0.74 for "Challenge," and the lowest is 0.1 for "Huge" [1]. Several markets sit at 0.5. Because each market is a separate contract with its own wording, these prices should not be averaged or combined into one field. A price gap between two contracts does not by itself indicate an opportunity.
What remains uncertain
The sample is partial. Twelve of thirteen markets were included, so the omitted market's wording and price are unknown [1]. The evidence does not show why prices stand where they do, how many traders hold each view, or how much volume or liquidity exists. Prices may have changed since retrieval, and the evidence does not show the current state of any market after that snapshot.
References
- Polymarket: What will MrBeast say during his next YouTube video?. Provider data observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 15, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract asks whether a specific word will be said during the next video MrBeast releases on his YouTube channel. The event is titled "What will MrBeast say during his next YouTube video?" [1]. According to the provider's rules, a bracket resolves "Yes" if MrBeast says the listed term during that video, and "No" otherwise [1]. Shorts, previews, and other videos released other than the referenced video are not considered [1]. The resolution source is the released video on the MrBeast YouTube channel [1]. If no such video is posted by November 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, the "-No Qualifying Event-" bracket resolves "Yes" and all other brackets resolve "No" [1]. The listed end time in the provider record is 2026-10-18T03:59:00.000Z [1]. That is the market's listed close time, not an announced date for a video. The event contains 13 markets on the provider side, and this sample includes 12 of them, ordered by Yes price and then by volume [1]. Because the sample is partial, the omitted market cannot be assumed to have any particular price, and rankings should not be read as a full field. Prices are snapshots taken at the observation time, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. Volume reflects trading activity and does not measure liquidity or the number of participants.
Historical Context
The retrieved Wikipedia article states that MrBeast's main channel has more than 520 million subscribers and is the most subscribed on YouTube, and that he is the third most followed account on TikTok [2]. These statements come from the article as retrieved on 2026-10-15 and describe the channel's standing as reported there, not a live count. The retrieved list of YouTubers describes the broader category of people known for their YouTube work [3], but it does not add specific background on this contract.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a narrow feature of one upload: whether a listed word is spoken in the next qualifying video on the MrBeast channel [1]. It does not measure the channel's overall content, the number of videos posted, or any other video [1]. Each bracket covers a different term, so the prices reflect separate questions rather than one combined outcome [1]. The provider's rules set the resolution path, including the fallback "-No Qualifying Event-" bracket if no qualifying video appears by the stated deadline [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-15 at 16:13 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
Which videos count for this contract?
Only the next video MrBeast releases on his YouTube channel is considered. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered [1].
What happens if MrBeast does not post a qualifying video?
If no such video is posted by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the "-No Qualifying Event-" bracket resolves "Yes" and all other brackets resolve "No" [1].
What is the resolution source?
The resolution source is the released video from the MrBeast YouTube channel [1].
Are the prices shown here tradable quotes?
No. The prices are snapshots from the observation time and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The sample also includes only 12 of 13 markets for this provider event, so it is not the full field [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
0
No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
