This event has ended. Showing historical data.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Bundesliga: 16th Place (Relegation Survivor)

Name: Bundesliga: 16th Place (Relegation Survivor)
End: 2026-05-31T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$1.85K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Bundesliga: 16th Place (Relegation Survivor)

Vol

$1.85K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $1.85K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.85K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

9 markets tracked

Will FC St. Pauli place 16th for the 2025-26 Bundesliga season?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Will FC St. Pauli place 16th for the 2025-26 Bundesliga season?	Poly	50%
Will Borussia Monchengladbach place 16th for the 2025-26 Bundesliga season?	Poly	49%
Will1. FC Heidenheim place 16th for the 2025-26 Bundesliga season?	Poly	44%
Will 1. FC Köln place 16th for the 2025-26 Bundesliga season?	Poly	43%
Will Werder Bremen place 16th for the 2025-26 Bundesliga season?	Poly	37%
Will VfL Wolfsburg place 16th for the 2025-26 Bundesliga season?	Poly	25%
Will Mainz 05 place 16th for the 2025-26 Bundesliga season?	Poly	10%
Will Hamburger SV place 16th for the 2025-26 Bundesliga season?	Poly	10%
Will Union Berlin place 16th for the 2025-26 Bundesliga season?	Poly	10%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

50%

Top Probability

$1.85K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes 16th in the 2025-26 Bundesliga. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 16th in the 2025-26 Bundesliga (e.g. they mathematically cannot finish in 16th), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2025-2026 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 16th place team declared within that t

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Bundesliga: 16th Place (Relegation Survivor)
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 31, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes 16th in the 2025-26 Bundesliga. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 16th in the 2025-26 Bundesliga (e.g. they mathematically cannot finish in 16th), the associated market will resolve to "No". 

If the 2025-2026 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 16th place team declared within that t

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes 16th in the 2025-26 Bundesliga. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 16th in the 2025-26 Bundesliga (e.g. they mathematically cannot finish in 16th), t"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $1.0K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.02)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Werder Bremen place 16th for the 2025-26 Bundesliga season?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $129
  DATA: [Yes: 37.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.9% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will VfL Wolfsburg place 16th for the 2025-26 Bundesliga season?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $119
  DATA: [Yes: 25.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will FC St. Pauli place 16th for the 2025-26 Bundesliga season?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $110
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.4% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Mainz 05 place 16th for the 2025-26 Bundesliga season?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $91
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Hamburger SV place 16th for the 2025-26 Bundesliga season?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $95
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Union Berlin place 16th for the 2025-26 Bundesliga season?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $95
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Borussia Monchengladbach place 16th for the 2025-26 Bundesliga season?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $161
  DATA: [Yes: 48.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.2% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will1. FC Heidenheim place 16th for the 2025-26 Bundesliga season?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $109
  DATA: [Yes: 43.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will 1. FC Köln place 16th for the 2025-26 Bundesliga season?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $110
  DATA: [Yes: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports