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Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Miami Grand Prix: Sprint Winner

Name: Miami Grand Prix: Sprint Winner
End: 2026-05-09T16:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$2.88K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Miami Grand Prix: Sprint Winner

Vol

$2.88K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $2.88K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.88K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

22 markets tracked

Will Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(22)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	59%
Will Charles Leclerc win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	53%
Will Lando Norris win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	52%
Will Lewis Hamilton win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	51%
Will Arvid Lindblad win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	49%
Will Liam Lawson win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	49%
Will Nico Hulkenberg win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	49%
Will Oliver Bearman win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	49%
Will Pierre Gasly win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	49%
Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	49%
Will Franco Colapinto win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	49%
Will Max Verstappen win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	34%
Will Oscar Piastri win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	30%
Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	28%
Will Esteban Ocon win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	27%
Will Isack Hadjar win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	27%
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	5%
Will Fernando Alonso win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	5%
Will Sergio Perez win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	5%
Will Valtteri Bottas win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	5%
Will Lance Stroll win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	5%
Will Alexander Albon win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	5%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

59%

Top Probability

$2.88K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This is a polymarket on the driver who wins the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 2, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with winning the Sprint as published by the FIA. If the Sprint is canceled or does not take place, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source will be the official For

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Miami Grand Prix: Sprint Winner
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 9, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This is a polymarket on the driver who wins the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 2, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with winning the Sprint as published by the FIA. If the Sprint is canceled or does not take place, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source will be the official For

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This is a polymarket on the driver who wins the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 2, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is off"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $888
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 3.25)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Pierre Gasly win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 9, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 49.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.7% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Fernando Alonso win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 9, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 5.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Alexander Albon win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 9, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 9, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 49.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.8% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Sergio Perez win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 9, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 5.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Charles Leclerc win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 9, 2026): Vol $163
  DATA: [Yes: 52.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Esteban Ocon win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 9, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 27.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Lando Norris win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 9, 2026): Vol $187
  DATA: [Yes: 51.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 9, 2026): Vol $23
  DATA: [Yes: 59.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 41.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Max Verstappen win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 9, 2026): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 34.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.6% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Franco Colapinto win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 9, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 48.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.2% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Carlos Sainz Jr. win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 9, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 5.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.9% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Nico Hulkenberg win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 9, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 49.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.6% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Valtteri Bottas win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 9, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Lewis Hamilton win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 9, 2026): Vol $52
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Oliver Bearman win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 9, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 49.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.6% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Oscar Piastri win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 9, 2026): Vol $671
  DATA: [Yes: 29.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 9, 2026): Vol $221
  DATA: [Yes: 28.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Arvid Lindblad win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 9, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Isack Hadjar win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 9, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 26.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.2% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Liam Lawson win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 9, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 49.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.6% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Lance Stroll win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 9, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 5.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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