Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

How many EPL points will Man City be deducted?

Name: How many EPL points will Man City be deducted?
End: 2027-07-01T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$29.91K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

How many EPL points will Man City be deducted?

Vol

$29.91K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $29.91K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $29.91K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Will Manchester City be deducted 0 Premier League points?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Manchester City be deducted 0 Premier League points?	Poly	31%
Will Manchester City be deducted 50 or more Premier League points?	Poly	30%
Will Manchester City be deducted 30-49 Premier League points?	Poly	16%
Will Manchester City be expelled from the Premier League as a sanction?	Poly	16%
Will Manchester City be deducted 20-29 Premier League points?	Poly	5%
Will Manchester City be deducted 10-19 Premier League points?	Poly	4%
Will Manchester City be deducted 1-9 Premier League points?	Poly	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

31%

Top Probability

$29.91K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the total number of Premier League points Manchester City FC is deducted as a sanction as a result of the Premier League's proceedings against Manchester City FC concerning alleged breaches of the Premier League's financial rules, which were announced on February 6, 2023 (commonly referred to as the "115 charges" case), as officially determined as of June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. If a points deduction is reduced, increased, or overturned on appeal and the app

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How many EPL points will Man City be deducted?
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jul 1, 2027 (263 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the total number of Premier League points Manchester City FC is deducted as a sanction as a result of the Premier League's proceedings against Manchester City FC concerning alleged breaches of the Premier League's financial rules, which were announced on February 6, 2023 (commonly referred to as the "115 charges" case), as officially determined as of June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

If a points deduction is reduced, increased, or overturned on appeal and the app

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the total number of Premier League points Manchester City FC is deducted as a sanction as a result of the Premier League's proceedings against Manchester City FC concerning alleged breaches of the Premier League's financial rules, which were announced on Februar"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $29.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $16.6K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.80)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Manchester City be deducted 0 Premier League points?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $5.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 30.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Manchester City be deducted 1-9 Premier League points?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $1.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.7% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Manchester City be deducted 10-19 Premier League points?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $3.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.9% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Manchester City be deducted 20-29 Premier League points?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $2.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.6% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Manchester City be deducted 30-49 Premier League points?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $5.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 16.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.6% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Manchester City be deducted 50 or more Premier League points?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $6.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 29.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Manchester City be expelled from the Premier League as a sanction?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $5.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 16.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports