Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

New York Governor election: Bruce Blakeman vote percent

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$6.17K

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New York Governor election: Bruce Blakeman vote percent

Vol

$6.17K

Events

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $6.17K

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0.0%avg

max 0.0%

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of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $6.17K

100%

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9 markets tracked

Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?

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Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?	Kalshi	98%
Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?	Kalshi	97%
Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?	Kalshi	81%
Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?	Kalshi	78%
Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?	Kalshi	62%
Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?	Kalshi	38%
Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?	Kalshi	20%
Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?	Kalshi	8%
Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?	Kalshi	4%

AI Analysis

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98%

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$6.17K

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About This Event

Vote Percent - Bruce Blakeman If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Bruce Blakeman in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election is X to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as, total votes received by Bruce Blakeman ÷ total valid votes cast, × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are in

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** New York Governor election: Bruce Blakeman vote percent
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Vote Percent - Bruce Blakeman

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Bruce Blakeman in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election is X to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as, total votes received by Bruce Blakeman ÷ total valid votes cast, × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are in

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Bruce Blakeman in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Bruce Blakeman ÷ total valid "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $6.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $812
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $751
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $3.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 38.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $700
  DATA: [Yes: 61.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 38.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 80.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 19.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $500
  DATA: [Yes: 78.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 22.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $200
  DATA: [Yes: 96.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

New York Governor election: Bruce Blakeman vote percent

Volume$6.17K

Markets9

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KALSHI

Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.5¢No 2.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Bruce Blakeman in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election is 34% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Bruce Blakeman ÷ total valid

KALSHI

Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.5¢No 3.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Bruce Blakeman in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election is 36% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Bruce Blakeman ÷ total valid

KALSHI

Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 80.5¢No 19.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Bruce Blakeman in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election is 40% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Bruce Blakeman ÷ total valid

KALSHI

Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 78.0¢No 22.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Bruce Blakeman in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election is 38% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Bruce Blakeman ÷ total valid

KALSHI

Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 61.5¢No 38.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Bruce Blakeman in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election is 42% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Bruce Blakeman ÷ total valid

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/1ogH72" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="New York Governor election: Bruce Blakeman vote percent"></iframe>

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New York Governor election: Bruce Blakeman vote percent

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Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?

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Events (1)

New York Governor election: Bruce Blakeman vote percent

Markets (9)

Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?

Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?

Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?

Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?

Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?

Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?

Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?

Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?

Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?

Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?

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Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

New York Governor election: Bruce Blakeman vote percent

Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?

Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?

Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?

Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?

Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?

Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?

Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?

Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?

Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?

Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?

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