What will Applied Optoelectronics say during their next earnings call?
K 1.4K contracts
1
12
What will Applied Optoelectronics say during their next earnings call?
K 1.4K contracts
1
12
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Qualification at 85%.
Kalshi
- Qualification85%
- China / Chinese84.5%
- CPO / Co-Packaged Optics78.5%
- Tariff76.5%
- Pearland76%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 1.4K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
12
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
On Nov 5, 2026 If X is said by any Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. representative, including the operator of the call, during the next Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. live earnings call or official broadcast, including the Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. earnings call. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. earnings call will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. Payout criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-29T09:00:06.215Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
Each market in this event asks whether a specific word or phrase will be said by an Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. representative during the next live earnings call or official broadcast, including Q&A [1]. The event page lists the call as taking place on Nov 5, 2026 [1]. A market resolves Yes if "the exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word" is said, while "Grammatical/tense inflections" do not count [1]. Resolution relies on video of the call, with transcripts from listed news publications used if Kalshi employees cannot reach a consensus from video [1]. The contract closes early if the event occurs [1].
Reading the snapshot
The market data was observed at 2026-10-29T09:00:06.215Z and retrieved at 2026-10-29T11:12:27.257Z [1]. The sample includes 12 of 12 saved markets for this Kalshi event, and partialSample is false. The supplied evidence, however, does not establish that the provider lists every possible real-world outcome [1].
Yes prices range from 0.14 (FCC / Federal Communications Commission) to 0.865 (China / Chinese). These are quoted snapshot values, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. Each market tracks a different word, so each should be read on its own. Averaging them or ranking them as one field would combine unlike outcomes. Two markets, Qualification and CPO / Co-Packaged Optics, show the same Yes price of 0.77, but that tells you only about those two snapshot values.
Close times also need care. The market records list an end date of 2027-02-03T21:30:00.000Z [1]. The event excerpt, however, says "Listed end time: not supplied" [1]. The recorded end date is a listed close time, not an announced event date. The call date in the contract is Nov 5, 2026 [1].
What remains uncertain
The snapshot reflects only the observation time above and may not match current prices. The evidence does not explain why any price is where it is, and it does not show how many traders hold each position or how liquid any market is. Because the excerpt and the market record disagree about the listed end time, readers should check the provider's contract page before relying on that date. Differences in wording, such as singular versus plural labels or the inclusion of abbreviations, should be checked against each contract's full rules. Different contracts with different prices are not an arbitrage opportunity by themselves.
References
- Kalshi: What will Applied Optoelectronics say during their next earnings call?. Provider data observed 2026-10-29T09:00:06.215Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 29, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a mention-style contract tied to Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. The contract asks whether a specific word or phrase will be said during the company's next live earnings call or official broadcast. The contract text refers to a call on Nov 5, 2026 [1]. That date appears in the contract's rules and title, so it should not be read as a confirmed call schedule or as a date the company has announced. The contract resolves to Yes if the target word is said by any Applied Optoelectronics representative during the call, including the operator and the Q&A portion [1]. Each contract in the event asks about a different word or phrase, so each one is judged separately against the same call. The rules say that the exact phrase or word counts, along with its plural or possessive form. Grammatical or tense inflections do not count toward a payout [1]. Resolution is based on the video recording of the call. If Kalshi employees cannot reach a consensus using the video, the contract says transcripts of the call will be used, following the news publications named in the contract [1]. The contract also states that the market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1]. The contract states that Kalshi is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or officially connected to the underlying company, and that all trademarks belong to their respective owners [1]. The market prices shown on this page are snapshots from a particular observation time. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities. A higher or lower price on one word does not by itself mean that word is more or less likely to be said. Trading volume is also not a measure of liquidity or of how many people are trading. The sample on this page includes all saved markets for this Kalshi event, but that does not establish that the provider lists every possible word or outcome. Contracts on different words may be priced differently for reasons unrelated to any arbitrage opportunity.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether a chosen word or phrase is spoken during one specific company event, the next live earnings call or official broadcast of Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. [1]. It is a narrow question about speech on a single occasion rather than a question about company performance. Because the contract counts the exact word, its plural, and its possessive form, but not other inflections, small wording differences can matter when the outcome is decided. Anyone reading the prices should keep in mind that they are time-stamped snapshots, and that the contract's resolution depends on the call recording or, if needed, transcripts [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-29 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What makes a contract resolve to Yes?
The contract resolves to Yes if the target word or phrase is said by any Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. representative, including the call operator, during the next live earnings call or official broadcast, including the Q&A [1].
Do plural or possessive forms count?
Yes. The contract says the exact phrase or word counts, along with a plural or possessive form of that phrase or word [1].
Do tense or other grammatical changes count?
No. The contract says grammatical or tense inflections do not count for payout [1].
How is the outcome checked?
The contract relies on video of the earnings call. If Kalshi employees cannot reach a consensus using video, transcripts of the call will be used, following the news publications listed in the contract [1].
Does the market close early?
The contract says the market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
