Snapshot observed 2026-10-25T09:00:05.886Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

This contract asks whether the BNB/USDT one-hour candle beginning at the time in the title, "BNB Up or Down - October 27, 3AM ET," will close at or above its open. The rules state that it "will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down"" [1].

The resolution source is Binance specifically. The rules say the market "is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs" [1]. A reader comparing this contract with a BNB price market on another venue or pair should expect different resolution terms.

The listed end time is 2026-10-27T08:00:00.000Z [1]. The rules describe the candle's close as the value that will be used "once the data for that candle is finalized" [1]. The listed end time therefore marks when the candle closes, not when a resolution will be announced. The evidence does not state when the outcome will be published.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observed this market at 2026-10-25T09:00:05.886Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-10-25T10:01:30.011Z [1]. These are historical snapshot times. They are not a live feed, and the evidence does not show the price at the time you read this.

At observation, the saved market showed Up at 0.5 and Down at 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot prices. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The evidence does not include bid, ask, depth, or volume, so it does not show how easily a position could be entered or exited.

The sample covers one market in one provider event. Coverage reports 1 total market, 1 included, and no partial sample [1]. Because the event contains only this contract, there is no other outcome in the sample to compare against. No cross-platform comparison is possible from this record.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not explain why the Up and Down prices are equal, and it does not state how many participants hold either side. The status was "active" at observation [1], but no later status is provided. Any later price, close, or resolution would require a new snapshot.

References

1. Polymarket: BNB Up or Down - October 27, 3AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-25T09:00:05.886Z.