Mukono Super Smash T20: Bussana vs Ntunda - Toss Match Double
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Mukono Super Smash T20: Bussana vs Ntunda - Toss Match Double
PM $0
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Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is BUS at 50%.
Polymarket
- BUS50%
- Draw50%
- NTU50%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
3
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Bussana and Ntunda scheduled for 2026-07-29 in Mukono Super Smash T20. The outcome corresponding to Bussana will be considered correct if Bussana is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Ntunda will be considered correct if Ntunda is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T00:00:06.034Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This Polymarket event covers one cricket match between Bussana and Ntunda in the Mukono Super Smash T20 competition, which the excerpt says is "scheduled for 2026-07-29" [1]. The Bussana contract pays out only if Bussana is officially recorded as winning both the pre-match coin toss and the match. The Ntunda contract works the same way for Ntunda [1]. The Draw contract covers every other case, including when the toss and match winners differ or when no match winner is recorded [1].
The rules also address edge cases. DLS/DRS adjustments, forfeits, and Super Over outcomes count as ordinary wins, and a tied match with no tiebreak resolves to Draw [1]. Because the Draw contract absorbs abandoned or unfinished matches, these three contracts are not simply "one team wins" and "the other team wins."
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-16T00:00:06.034Z and retrieved at 2026-10-16T01:36:17.545Z [1]. All three markets show a Yes price of 0.5 and a No price of 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities.
The three Yes prices add up to 1.5, so they cannot be read together as a complete probability distribution. That gap alone does not establish an arbitrage opportunity. The sample includes all three saved markets for this event, with partialSample set to false. The provider's sample warning, however, states that including all saved markets "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. The evidence does not report volume, so nothing here speaks to liquidity or the number of traders.
What remains uncertain
The listed end time is 2026-08-06T03:00:00.000Z [1]. That date is earlier than the retrieval date of 2026-10-16, yet the provider status in the saved record is "active" [1]. The evidence does not explain this difference. I cannot tell from the excerpt whether the match was played, whether a toss or match winner was recorded, or what the market's current status is.
The rules also say that a postponed or rescheduled match keeps the market open until the listed fixture is completed [1]. Without a resolution record, no outcome can be stated. The 0.5 prices describe only this saved record and should not be read as current.
References
- Polymarket: Mukono Super Smash T20: Bussana vs Ntunda - Toss Match Double. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T00:00:06.034Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 16, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
The Polymarket event "Mukono Super Smash T20: Bussana vs Ntunda - Toss Match Double" groups three contracts on a cricket match between Bussana and Ntunda in the Mukono Super Smash T20 competition [1]. The rules describe the match as scheduled for 2026-07-29 [1]. Each contract combines two results: the pre-match coin toss and the final match result. The Bussana outcome is correct only if Bussana is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match, and the Ntunda outcome works the same way for Ntunda [1]. Any other combination resolves to "Draw", including cases where the toss and match winners differ or where no match winner is recorded [1]. The three listed markets are Bussana winner, Draw and Ntunda winner, each with its own Yes and No outcomes [1]. The rules also settle several edge cases. DLS or DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeits or walkovers, and Super Overs are treated as ordinary wins for the team declared the winner [1]. If a match is tied and a tiebreak such as a Super Over is used, the tiebreak winner counts as the match winner. If a tie has no tiebreak, the market resolves to "Draw" [1]. A match that is permanently canceled, abandoned, or completed without an official winner also resolves to "Draw" [1]. A postponed or rescheduled match keeps the market open until the listed fixture is completed [1]. The listed end time is 2026-08-06T03:00:00.000Z [1]. This is a date from the contract rules, not a report of when the match was played or what it produced, and the evidence does not describe any result.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a combined result rather than a single match outcome. A Bussana or Ntunda contract only pays out when that team wins both the coin toss and the match, so a team that wins the match after losing the toss would not satisfy the contract [1]. The Draw contract covers every other result, including split toss and match winners and matches with no recorded winner [1]. Because of this structure, the three contracts are designed to cover the possible resolutions under the stated rules, and a Yes price on any one of them reflects the market's trading at that time rather than a verified probability [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What counts as a Bussana win under this contract?
Bussana is treated as the winner only if it is officially recorded as winning both the pre-match coin toss and the final match result [1].
What happens if the match is rained off or abandoned?
If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or completed without an official match winner being declared, the market resolves to "Draw" [1]. If it is only postponed or rescheduled, the market stays open until the listed fixture is completed [1].
How are tied matches handled?
If a match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak such as a Super Over, the tiebreak winner is treated as the match winner. If there is no tiebreak available or used, the market resolves to "Draw" [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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