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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Dota 2: AVULUS vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - European Pro League Group B

Name: Dota 2: AVULUS vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - European Pro League Group B
End: 2026-05-01T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$852.43

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Dota 2: AVULUS vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - European Pro League Group B

Vol

$852.43

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $852.43

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $852.43

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

20 markets tracked

Dota 2: AVULUS vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 1 Winner

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(20)

Market	Platform	Price
Dota 2: AVULUS vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 1 Winner	Poly	50%
Dota 2: AVULUS vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 2 Winner	Poly	50%
Games Total: Over/Under 2.5	Poly	50%
Game Handicap: ILL (-1.5) vs AVULUS (+1.5)	Poly	50%
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?	Poly	50%
Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 1: Any Player Rampage?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Any Player Rampage?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Any Player Rampage?	Poly	50%
Game 1: Ends in Daytime?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Ends in Daytime?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Ends in Daytime?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?	Poly	50%
Dota 2: AVULUS vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - European Pro League Group B	Poly	49%
Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?	Poly	26%
Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?	Poly	26%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

50%

Top Probability

$852.43

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between AVULUS and Ilbirs eSports in the European Pro League Group B, initially scheduled for April 30 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "AVULUS" if AVULUS win the match against Ilbirs eSports. This market will resolve to "Ilbirs eSports" if Ilbirs eSports win the match against AVULUS. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will reso

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Dota 2: AVULUS vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - European Pro League Group B
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 1, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market refers to the Dota 2 match between AVULUS and Ilbirs eSports in the European Pro League Group B, initially scheduled for April 30 at 2:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "AVULUS" if AVULUS win the match against Ilbirs eSports.

This market will resolve to "Ilbirs eSports" if Ilbirs eSports win the match against AVULUS.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will reso

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the Dota 2 match between AVULUS and Ilbirs eSports in the European Pro League Group B, initially scheduled for April 30 at 2:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "AVULUS" if AVULUS win the match against Ilbirs eSports.

This market will resolve to "Ilbirs eSports" if Ilbirs eS"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $852
* **Total Liquidity:** $153
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 5.57)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Dota 2: AVULUS vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - European Pro League Group B
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $195
  DATA: [AVULUS: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Ilbirs eSports: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Dota 2: AVULUS vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 1 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 30, 2026): Vol $524
  DATA: [AVULUS: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Ilbirs eSports: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Dota 2: AVULUS vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 2 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 30, 2026): Vol $13
  DATA: [AVULUS: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Ilbirs eSports: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Games Total: Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Game Handicap: ILL (-1.5) vs AVULUS (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Ilbirs eSports: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [AVULUS: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Game 1: Ends in Daytime?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 30, 2026): Vol $60
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Game 1: Any Player Rampage?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Game 2: Ends in Daytime?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 30, 2026): Vol $60
  DATA: [Yes: 26.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Game 2: Any Player Rampage?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Game 3: Ends in Daytime?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Game 3: Any Player Rampage?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

Dota 2: AVULUS vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - European Pro League Group B

Volume$852.43

Markets20

20 of 20

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POLYMARKET

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?

This market is about whether both teams destroy at least one enemy barracks during Game 1. In Dota 2, each team has six barracks (a melee and ranged barracks in each of the three lanes), located behind the Tier 3 towers. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both AVULUS and Ilbirs eSports each destr

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?

This market is about whether any player achieves an Ultra Kill during Game 1. In Dota 2, an Ultra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy heroes in rapid succession without dying. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves an Ultra Kill during Game 1. This market

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Any Player Rampage?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Any Player Rampage?

This market is about whether any player achieves a Rampage during Game 1. In Dota 2, a Rampage occurs when a single player kills all 5 enemy heroes in rapid succession without dying. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Rampage during Game 1. This market will re

POLYMARKET

Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?

This market is about whether both teams destroy at least one enemy barracks during Game 2. In Dota 2, each team has six barracks (a melee and ranged barracks in each of the three lanes), located behind the Tier 3 towers. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both AVULUS and Ilbirs eSports each destr

POLYMARKET

Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?

This market is about whether any player achieves an Ultra Kill during Game 2. In Dota 2, an Ultra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy heroes in rapid succession without dying. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves an Ultra Kill during Game 2. This market

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47¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/2NynOX" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Dota 2: AVULUS vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - European Pro League Group B"></iframe>

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Dota 2: AVULUS vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - European Pro League Group B

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Dota 2: AVULUS vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 1 Winner

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Dota 2: AVULUS vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - European Pro League Group B

Markets (20)

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?

Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Rampage?

Game 1: Any Player Rampage?

Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?

Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?

Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?

Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?

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Dota 2: AVULUS vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 1 Winner

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Dota 2: AVULUS vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - European Pro League Group B

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?

Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Rampage?

Game 1: Any Player Rampage?

Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?

Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?

Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?

Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?

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