ZCash Up or Down - October 28, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - October 28, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-27T06:00:05.981Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This contract is a short-window price direction market for ZCash. The title is "ZCash Up or Down - October 28, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET," and the rules state that it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules say the market "is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-28T05:50:00.000Z [1]. That is the provider's listed close, not a confirmed resolution. The title's ET window and the UTC end time are both provider-listed, so a reader should check how they correspond rather than assume a conversion.
Reading the snapshot
The saved prices were observed at 2026-10-27T06:00:05.981Z and retrieved at 2026-10-27T06:46:18.130Z [1]. These are historical snapshot values, not live quotes. The saved outcomes are "Up" at 0.5 and "Down" at 0.5 [1]. Because the two prices are equal in this snapshot, the data shows no difference between the two outcomes at that observation time. These prices are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities.
Coverage is complete for this saved event: one market was saved, one was included, and the sample is not partial [1]. The provider reported status as active at retrieval [1]. The saved data does not include volume or trader counts, so it says nothing about liquidity or how many participants hold either side.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show why the prices were equal, whether they have changed since observation, or what the ZEC/USD price was at the start of the window. It also does not establish the outcome, since the window closes after the retrieval time. The sample covers only this single saved event, and the provider notes that including all saved markets "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. No other platform's contract is in the evidence, so no cross-platform comparison is possible here.
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - October 28, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-27T06:00:05.981Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 27, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-term crypto contract on Polymarket titled "ZCash Up or Down - October 28, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET". The contract asks whether the price of ZCash will finish a five-minute window at or above where it started. According to the contract rules, the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution basis is specific. The rules name Chainlink as the resolution source and point to its ZEC/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second interval [1]. The rules also state that the contract concerns the price according to that Chainlink TWAP data stream, not other sources or spot markets [1]. This means a reader should not assume that a price on an exchange or a general price site decides the outcome. The timing has three separate points. The provider record was observed at 2026-10-27T06:00:05.981Z and retrieved at 2026-10-27T06:46:18.143Z [1]. The listed end time is 2026-10-28T05:50:00Z, which corresponds to the close of the 1:45 to 1:50 AM ET window [1]. The observation and retrieval times describe when the record was captured, not when the contract resolves. The provider status at observation was active [1], so the contract was still open at that snapshot. Nothing in the supplied record shows its final outcome.
Why It Matters
The contract measures direction over a short interval rather than a fixed target price. Because the comparison is between the TWAP across the window and the price at the start of that window, the result depends on the averaged price path, not only the closing value [1]. The rules specify that the Chainlink TWAP data stream is the basis, so the contract isolates a single reference feed for ZCash in USD [1]. Readers comparing this contract with other ZCash markets should check each contract's own resolution source and time window, since the rules for each contract can differ.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-27 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this market resolves Up?
It resolves Up if the time-weighted average price of ZCash over the stated window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that window [1].
Which price source is used for resolution?
The rules name the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second interval as the resolution source, and state that other sources or spot markets are not used [1].
When does the window end?
The listed end time is 2026-10-28T05:50:00Z, which matches the 1:50 AM ET close in the title [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.