Jagiellonia Bialystok vs. Pogon Szczecin - First Team to Score
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Jagiellonia Bialystok vs. Pogon Szczecin - First Team to Score
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Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 21, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Jagiellonia Bialystok at 50%.
Polymarket
- Jagiellonia Bialystok50%
- Pogon Szczecin50%
- Neither49.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
About This Event
In the upcoming match between Jagiellonia Bialystok and Pogon Szczecin, scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Jagiellonia Bialystok" if Jagiellonia Bialystok are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Pogon Szczecin" if Pogon Szczecin are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T00:00:06.034Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The saved event asks which team scores first in the match between Jagiellonia Bialystok and Pogon Szczecin. The resolution text states that the market "refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time," and that "Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded" [1]. A "Neither" outcome applies if neither team scores in that window, and the market "will resolve to 'Neither'" if the game is canceled with no make-up game [1].
The three saved markets differ in wording. One asks whether Jagiellonia Bialystok scores first, one asks whether Pogon Szczecin scores first, and one asks whether neither team scores first [1]. Each has its own Yes and No prices, so the Yes and No sides should be read separately for each contract.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-16T00:00:06Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-10-16T00:38:10Z [1]. Every saved market shows a Yes price of 0.5 and a No price of 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot values, not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and the evidence does not show the order book, spreads, or traded volume.
The three Yes prices sum to 1.5. Because the three outcomes cover the possible first-score results, a sum above 1 is a feature of this snapshot that the evidence does not explain. It does not, by itself, show a tradable opportunity, and the evidence does not say why the prices are set where they are.
The sample is complete for this saved event: three of three markets were included, and the record marks the sample as not partial [1]. This describes the saved provider event only. The sample warning states that it "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1].
What remains uncertain
The listed end time is 2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z, which is earlier than the snapshot and retrieval times [1]. The excerpt describes the match as "upcoming," but the evidence does not establish whether the match has been played, postponed, or resolved. The provider status at observation was "active," and the evidence contains no resolution outcome [1]. Readers should check the current contract page before relying on these prices.
References
- Polymarket: Jagiellonia Bialystok vs. Pogon Szczecin - First Team to Score. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T00:00:06.034Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 16, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Polymarket event on the first team to score in the Ekstraklasa match between Jagiellonia Bialystok and Pogon Szczecin, listed for August 15, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET [1]. The event is a set of three yes or no contracts. One asks whether Jagiellonia Bialystok will score first, one asks whether Pogon Szczecin will score first, and one asks whether neither team will score first [1]. The contract rules limit the outcome to the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded [1]. If neither team scores in that window, the neither contract resolves to Neither [1]. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game is completed. If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves to Neither [1]. The rules name official statistics recognized by the governing body or event organizers as the primary resolution source. If those statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event ends, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead [1]. Final results are settled on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers, and later revisions to officially declared final scores are not counted [1]. The listed end time in the contract is 2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z [1]. That is a rule about when the contract closes. It is not evidence of when the match was played or how it ended. The saved snapshot, taken on October 16, 2026, still shows the provider status as active [1]. The retrieved material does not show a final score, a settlement, or a resolved outcome, so this entry does not state one. At the time of the snapshot, each of the three contracts showed a Yes price of 0.5 and a No price of 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot prices from a prediction market. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and they do not show how the market would trade at any other time.
Historical Context
The club was founded in 1920 by soldiers in the 42nd Infantry Regiment Reserve Battalion in Bialystok [2]. The Wikipedia season article describes the 2025-26 season as the club's 106th season and its 19th consecutive season in the Ekstraklasa. The same article says the team was also competing in the Polish Cup and the UEFA Conference League during that season [3]. This is historical background from retrieved encyclopedia pages. It does not confirm the club's current standing or the results of any match in this market.
Why It Matters
The contracts measure which team, if either, scores first in one specific match, limited to the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time [1]. Because the rules exclude extra time and shoot-outs, a match that moves beyond regulation would not change the first-goal outcome for those minutes [1]. The neither contract also gives a clear answer for a 0-0 result within that window, and for a canceled match with no make-up game [1]. Traders can see how the rules define each possible outcome before deciding how to read the snapshot prices.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
Does extra time count toward the first-team-to-score outcome?
No. The market refers only to the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, and extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded [1].
What happens if neither team scores in the window?
The market resolves to Neither if neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time [1].
What happens if the match is postponed or canceled?
If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves to Neither [1].
Which source decides the result?
The primary source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If final statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used [1].
Do the snapshot prices show the likely outcome?
No. The saved snapshot shows Yes and No at 0.5 for each of the three contracts [1]. These are market snapshots, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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