
ATP Vienna Winner

K 0 contracts
1
32
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 26, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Adrian Mannarino at 47%.
Kalshi
- Adrian Mannarino47%
- Carlos Alcaraz23%
- Alexander Zverev15.5%
- Daniil Medvedev13.5%
- Alex de Minaur11%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 0 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
32
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
About This Event
2026 ATP Vienna If X wins the 2026 ATP Vienna professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the 2026 ATP Vienna professional tennis tournament. If the participant forfeits, withdraws from consideration, or takes any official action that removes them from being able to win the 2026 ATP Vienna professional tennis tournament, the market will resolve No for that participant. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-26T00:00:05.974Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The Kalshi event "ATP Vienna Winner" is a set of single-player contracts. According to the contract text, "If X wins the 2026 ATP Vienna professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes." [1] Each named player has its own market, so a Yes price on one player is not a judgment about the other players in the event.
The rules also say that if a participant "forfeits, withdraws from consideration, or takes any official action that removes them from being able to win" the tournament, "the market will resolve No for that participant." [1] Readers comparing this contract with a similar market elsewhere should check whether that other contract uses the same withdrawal language.
The close timing is also unclear. The contract states, "This market will close and expire after a winner is declared." [1] The source excerpt says "Listed end time: not supplied." [1] The market records carry an end date of 2026-12-05T09:00:00.000Z [1], but that field is not described as an announced tournament date, so it should not be read as a confirmed closing time.
Reading the snapshot
The observation time is 2026-10-26T00:00:05.974Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-26T00:31:38.024Z [1]. These prices describe that observed moment only. They are not live quotes and are not verified probabilities.
The sample is partial. Kalshi lists 32 markets for this event, and 12 are included [1]. The included markets are the 12 with the highest Yes prices, so the omitted 20 are not shown and should not be assumed to have lower prices than the included set. Within the sample, the highest Yes price is 0.47 for Adrian Mannarino, with a No price of 0.53 [1]. Carlos Alcaraz is at 0.23 Yes [1], and Alexander Zverev is at 0.155 Yes [1]. Several names share a Yes price of 0.045 [1].
Volume is not included in this snapshot's interpretation, and the prices do not show how many traders hold each view.
What remains uncertain
The snapshot does not explain why any price is where it is. It also does not show whether the 12 included markets are representative of the full field. No other platform's ATP Vienna contract is included here, so no cross-platform comparison is possible.
References
- Kalshi: ATP Vienna Winner. Provider data observed 2026-10-26T00:00:05.974Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 26, 2026 UTCOverview
The ATP Vienna Winner contract is a sports market on Kalshi tied to the 2026 ATP Vienna professional tennis tournament. Its basic rule is that if a named participant wins the tournament, the market resolves to Yes [1]. The contract is listed under the Sports category and was active at the time of the saved provider observation [1]. The contract also covers withdrawals. If a participant forfeits, withdraws from consideration, or takes an official action that removes them from being able to win the tournament, the market for that participant resolves to No [1]. A participant's market therefore does not depend only on the match results they play. Their status in the tournament can settle the contract. The market closes and expires after a winner is declared [1]. The saved provider record does not supply a listed end time for the event [1]. The individual market rows in the saved snapshot show an end date of 5 December 2026 at 09:00 UTC [1]. That date appears in the contract data, but it is not an announced tournament date or a confirmed resolution date. The contract's own rule states that closing follows the declaration of a winner, so the resolution timing depends on when that event occurs. The saved snapshot was observed at 00:00:05 UTC on 26 October 2026 and retrieved at 00:31 UTC the same day [1]. Those times describe when the provider data was captured. They do not show when the contract closes or resolves. Each price in the snapshot reflects that observation time only. The snapshot shows Yes and No prices for each named participant. For example, one market shows a Yes price of 0.47 and a No price of 0.53 for Adrian Mannarino [1]. Another shows Carlos Alcaraz at 0.23 Yes and 0.77 No [1]. These are recorded prices from one provider snapshot. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of any outcome. The market sample is partial. The saved Kalshi event contains 32 markets, and 12 are included in this sample [1]. The included markets were chosen by highest finite Yes price, with volume used as a tiebreaker, so the omitted 20 markets are not shown and should not be read as having lower prices. The sample describes only this saved provider event and should not be combined with rankings from other events or providers.
Historical Context
The supplied Wikipedia pages describe the wider tennis calendar rather than the Vienna tournament itself. The 2026 ATP Tour is described as the global elite men's professional tennis circuit organized by the Association of Tennis Professionals, and its calendar includes Grand Slam tournaments, the ATP Finals, Masters 1000 events, ATP 500 and ATP 250 events, and the United Cup [3]. The 2026 ATP Finals page describes a planned season-ending event scheduled for 15 to 22 November 2026 in Turin, Italy [2]. These pages provide season context only. They do not report Vienna results, and they do not confirm current tournament status.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether a specific named player wins the 2026 ATP Vienna tournament [1]. Traders following tennis can use the market to express a view on that outcome, and the Yes and No prices in the snapshot show how the contract was priced at one observed moment [1]. Because the rules also resolve a participant to No if they withdraw or are removed from contention, the contract reflects tournament participation as well as match results [1]. Readers should check the contract rules, the observation time, and the partial sample scope before interpreting any single price.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-26 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What makes a market resolve to Yes?
The contract resolves to Yes if the named participant wins the 2026 ATP Vienna professional tennis tournament [1].
What happens if a player withdraws?
If a participant forfeits, withdraws from consideration, or takes an official action that removes them from being able to win the tournament, the market resolves to No for that participant [1].
When does the market close?
The market closes and expires after a winner is declared [1]. The contract data lists an end date of 5 December 2026, but that date is not an announced event date, and the rules tie closing to the winner declaration [1].
Are the prices in this article current?
No. The prices come from a saved provider snapshot observed at 00:00:05 UTC on 26 October 2026 and retrieved at 00:31 UTC that day [1]. They are snapshots, not executable quotes or verified probabilities [1].
Does the sample show every player in the tournament?
No. The saved event has 32 markets, and only 12 are included in the sample, selected by highest finite Yes price and then volume [1]. The omitted markets should not be assumed to have lower prices.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
