Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIFinancials

Ulta comparable sales in Q3

Total Volume

$283.07

Events

Markets

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Ulta comparable sales in Q3

Vol

$283.07

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $283.07

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $283.07

100%

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

9 markets tracked

Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 3.5% total comparable sales in Q3 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 3.5% total comparable sales in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	60%
Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 4% total comparable sales in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	45%
Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 4.5% total comparable sales in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	30%
Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 5% total comparable sales in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	20%
Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 5.5% total comparable sales in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	12%
Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 6% total comparable sales in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	7%
Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 6.5% total comparable sales in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	5%
Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 7.5% total comparable sales in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	3%
Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 7% total comparable sales in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

60%

Top Probability

$283.07

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

total comparable sales in Q3 2026 If Ulta Beauty, Inc. reports Above X total comparable sales in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Ulta comparable sales in Q3
**Category:** Financials | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** total comparable sales in Q3 2026

If Ulta Beauty, Inc. reports Above X total comparable sales in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Ulta Beauty, Inc. reports Above 7.5% total comparable sales in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the p"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $283
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 7.5% total comparable sales in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 3, 2027): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 7% total comparable sales in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 3, 2027): Vol $20
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 6.5% total comparable sales in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 6% total comparable sales in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 3, 2027): Vol $56
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 5.5% total comparable sales in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 5% total comparable sales in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 4.5% total comparable sales in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 3, 2027): Vol $206
  DATA: [Yes: 30.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 4% total comparable sales in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 44.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 3.5% total comparable sales in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 59.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 40.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIFinancials

Ulta comparable sales in Q3

Volume$283.07

Markets9

9 of 9

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KALSHI

Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 3.5% total comparable sales in Q3 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 59.5¢No 40.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 3.5% total comparable sales in Q3 2026?

If Ulta Beauty, Inc. reports Above 3.5% total comparable sales in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the p

KALSHI

Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 4% total comparable sales in Q3 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 44.5¢No 55.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 4% total comparable sales in Q3 2026?

If Ulta Beauty, Inc. reports Above 4.0% total comparable sales in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the p

KALSHI

Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 4.5% total comparable sales in Q3 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 30.0¢No 70.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 4.5% total comparable sales in Q3 2026?

If Ulta Beauty, Inc. reports Above 4.5% total comparable sales in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the p

KALSHI

Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 5% total comparable sales in Q3 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 19.5¢No 80.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 5% total comparable sales in Q3 2026?

If Ulta Beauty, Inc. reports Above 5.0% total comparable sales in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the p

KALSHI

Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 5.5% total comparable sales in Q3 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 11.5¢No 88.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 5.5% total comparable sales in Q3 2026?

If Ulta Beauty, Inc. reports Above 5.5% total comparable sales in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the p

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Ulta comparable sales in Q3

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Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 3.5% total comparable sales in Q3 2026?

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Events (1)

Ulta comparable sales in Q3

Markets (9)

Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 3.5% total comparable sales in Q3 2026?

Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 3.5% total comparable sales in Q3 2026?

Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 4% total comparable sales in Q3 2026?

Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 4% total comparable sales in Q3 2026?

Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 4.5% total comparable sales in Q3 2026?

Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 4.5% total comparable sales in Q3 2026?

Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 5% total comparable sales in Q3 2026?

Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 5% total comparable sales in Q3 2026?

Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 5.5% total comparable sales in Q3 2026?

Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 5.5% total comparable sales in Q3 2026?

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Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 3.5% total comparable sales in Q3 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Ulta comparable sales in Q3

Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 3.5% total comparable sales in Q3 2026?

Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 3.5% total comparable sales in Q3 2026?

Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 4% total comparable sales in Q3 2026?

Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 4% total comparable sales in Q3 2026?

Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 4.5% total comparable sales in Q3 2026?

Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 4.5% total comparable sales in Q3 2026?

Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 5% total comparable sales in Q3 2026?

Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 5% total comparable sales in Q3 2026?

Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 5.5% total comparable sales in Q3 2026?

Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 5.5% total comparable sales in Q3 2026?

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