Chicago vs Boston: 3rd Quarter Spread
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Chicago vs Boston: 3rd Quarter Spread
K 0 contracts
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Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 30, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Boston wins by over 1.5 points at 61.5%.
Kalshi
- Boston wins by over 1.5 points61.5%
- Boston wins by over 2.5 points57.5%
- Boston wins by over 4.5 points46.5%
- Boston wins by over 6.5 points38.5%
- Boston wins by over 8.5 points29.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 0 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
13
Saved contracts
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 30, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
CHI vs BOS (Oct 30) If Chicago wins by more than X points in the 3rd quarter of the Chicago vs Boston Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Note: 4th quarter markets do not include overtime. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-27T00:00:05.999Z. This event is archived. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The supplied source describes a Kalshi event for the third quarter of a Chicago vs Boston game originally scheduled for October 26, 2026. Under the excerpted rules, "If Chicago wins by more than X points in the 3rd quarter... then the market resolves to Yes" [1]. Individual contracts in the snapshot set specific thresholds, such as "Boston wins 3Q by over 1.5 points" and "Chicago wins 3Q by over 8.5 points" [1]. Each threshold is a separate contract with its own Yes and No prices, so the lines are not interchangeable.
The listed end date in the market data is 2026-10-28T23:30:00.000Z [1]. The source excerpt also says "Listed end time: not supplied," which conflicts with that field. Treat the close time as unresolved until the provider clarifies it. The excerpt states the market "will close and expire after a winner is declared" [1], which describes the rule, not an announced resolution.
Reading the snapshot
The observation time is 2026-10-27T00:00:05.999Z, and the source was retrieved on 2026-10-29 [1]. These prices describe that earlier observation, not current trading. The archived record shows the provider status as active at retrieval [1], but that does not show what the market is doing now.
Prices are snapshots, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. For each threshold, the Yes and No prices sum to 1.00 in the supplied data. Across thresholds, prices fall as the required margin grows for Boston (0.59 at over 1.5 points, 0.315 at over 7.5 points) and also for Chicago (0.295 at over 1.5 points, 0.095 at over 8.5 points) [1]. These are different contracts, so a gap between a Boston line and a Chicago line is not an arbitrage opportunity.
The sample is partial. The provider event has 13 markets, and 12 are included [1]. The included set was selected by highest Yes price, so the omitted market should not be read as lower-priced or as part of a complete field.
What remains uncertain
The excerpt does not explain why prices were where they were, and this summary does not infer a cause. The supplied evidence does not show trader counts, liquidity, or executable depth. The one omitted market is unknown, and the listed close time is inconsistent within the source. The evidence does not show the game result or final resolution.
References
- Kalshi: Chicago vs Boston: 3rd Quarter Spread. Provider data observed 2026-10-27T00:00:05.999Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 29, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Kalshi market titled "Chicago vs Boston: 3rd Quarter Spread" [1]. The provider's contract rules say that if Chicago wins by more than X points in the third quarter of the Chicago vs Boston Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for October 26, 2026, the market resolves to Yes [1]. The event is structured as a set of threshold contracts. Each one asks whether one team's third-quarter margin will exceed a stated number of points, so a single game produces several separate markets with different thresholds [1][2]. The rules state that the market closes and expires after a winner is declared [1]. The saved event lists its status as active, but the listed end time is not supplied in the provider record [1]. The per-market end date in the saved sample is 2026-10-28 at 23:30 UTC. That date is a field in the saved data, not an announced event date or a confirmation of when the game was played or the market settled [1]. The provider also notes that Kalshi is not affiliated with or endorsed by the governing league and that trademarks belong to their owners [1]. Its rules include a separate note that fourth-quarter markets do not include overtime [1]. That note concerns fourth-quarter contracts, not the third-quarter threshold markets described here. The prices in this entry are Yes and No values from one saved snapshot. A price near 0.59 for a Yes contract reflects the platform's reported value at that moment and is not an executable quote or a verified probability of the outcome [1]. Because the snapshot is historical, it should not be read as the present market.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether one team outscores the other by more than a specific number of points during the third quarter of the named game [1]. Each threshold is a separate yes or no question. For example, the Boston over 1.5 market resolves on whether Boston wins the third quarter by more than 1.5 points, while the Chicago over 2.5 market resolves on whether Chicago wins the third quarter by more than 2.5 points [1]. The contract rules tie resolution to the outcome of that quarter in the specified game, so the thresholds, team, and quarter all determine the result [1]. In the saved snapshot, the Boston threshold contracts had Yes prices ranging from 0.59 at the 1.5 point line down to 0.16 at the 13.5 point line [1]. The Chicago threshold contracts had Yes prices from 0.295 at the 1.5 point line down to 0.095 at the 8.5 point line [1]. These values show how the platform priced each threshold at that time. They do not show how the quarter actually ended, which the supplied evidence does not establish.
Snapshot context
The archived provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-27 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does a Yes outcome require in this contract?
According to the contract rules, a Yes outcome occurs if Chicago wins by more than X points in the third quarter of the game originally scheduled for October 26, 2026, where X is the threshold in that specific market [1]. Each Boston contract applies the same logic to Boston's third-quarter margin [1].
Why are there many markets for one game?
The saved event contains separate contracts for different point thresholds and for each team [1]. Each one is a distinct yes or no question, so they should be read individually rather than as a single bet on the game [1].
Does a price on this page show what the market is worth now?
No. The prices come from a saved snapshot observed on October 27, 2026 at 00:00 UTC, and they are not executable quotes or verified probabilities [1]. The provider record also lists the event as active, but that status describes the saved record and does not confirm current pricing [1].
Is this the complete list of markets for the event?
No. The saved event contains 13 markets, and 12 are included in this sample [1]. The sample is ordered by Yes price, but the omitted market is not shown, so no conclusion should be drawn about its price.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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K 0 contractsMarket Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
