Osadchyi Oleksandr vs. Zaika Bohdan
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Osadchyi Oleksandr vs. Zaika Bohdan
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 11, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market refers to the table tennis match between Osadchyi Oleksandr and Zaika Bohdan in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for November 11 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Osadchyi Oleksandr' if Osadchyi Oleksandr wins against Zaika Bohdan. This market will resolve to 'Zaika Bohdan' if Zaika Bohdan wins against Osadchyi Oleksandr. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-03T21:00:06.031Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The saved Polymarket event covers a table tennis match between Osadchyi Oleksandr and Zaika Bohdan in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, which the source lists as scheduled for November 4 at 10:30AM ET [1]. The main contract resolves to the winner. The source states that "This market will resolve to 'Osadchyi Oleksandr' if Osadchyi Oleksandr wins against Zaika Bohdan" [1].
The contract wording also sets several special cases. The market resolves 50-50 if the match is canceled, ends in a tie, is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner, or ends in a walkover [1]. If a player advances because the opponent retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances [1]. The primary resolution source is "the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers," with a consensus of credible reporting as a fallback if final statistics are not published within 2 hours of the event's conclusion [1].
The listed end time is 2026-11-11T15:30:00.000Z [1]. This is a contract closing field, not the match time. The match is scheduled for November 4, so the two dates should not be read as the same event.
Reading the snapshot
The saved data includes five markets from this event, and all five show a price of 0.5 for each listed outcome [1]. These are snapshot prices from an observation time of 2026-11-03T21:00:06.031Z, retrieved by the application at 2026-11-04T04:21:53.775Z. They are not live quotes, not executable prices, and not verified probabilities. The snapshot does not show whether the prices have changed since observation.
The five markets are the match winner, two total games markets (Over/Under 3.5 and 4.5), and two game handicap markets, one for each player at -1.5 and +1.5 [1]. Because every listed price is identical, the snapshot does not separate the outcomes on the displayed prices. The saved data does not include volume, depth, or trader counts, so it cannot show liquidity.
The coverage record marks this sample as complete for the saved event: 5 of 5 markets were included, and the partial sample flag is false [1]. Even so, the source notes that the sample "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1].
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices are equal, and it does not show whether equal prices reflect any view of either player. It contains no information on the players' records, recent matches, or the reasons for any market activity.
Because only one platform is in the evidence, no cross-platform comparison is possible. Different contracts should not be treated as arbitrage just because their prices differ, and any comparison would need matching wording and close times.
References
- Polymarket: Osadchyi Oleksandr vs. Zaika Bohdan. Provider data observed 2026-11-03T21:00:06.031Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 4, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This contract is a sports prediction market on a single table tennis match between Osadchyi Oleksandr and Zaika Bohdan in the Setka Cup Ukraine Men event. The official Polymarket event description says the match is scheduled for November 4 at 10:30AM ET [1]. That is the scheduled match time, not a record of play. The listed end time of the contract, November 11, 2026 at 15:30 UTC, is a contract closing date and should not be read as the match date [1]. The primary rule is a straightforward winner market. The contract resolves to Osadchyi Oleksandr if he beats Zaika Bohdan, and to Zaika Bohdan if the opponent wins [1]. The saved event also includes related markets on total games (over or under 3.5 and 4.5) and game handicaps, which are described in the market data rather than in the resolution text quoted here. The contract includes several special cases. If the match is canceled without being played, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner, the market resolves 50-50 [1]. If a match starts but is not completed, and one player advances because the opponent retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances [1]. A walkover, where a player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically, also resolves 50-50 [1]. The primary resolution source is the official statistics published by the governing body or event organizers. If they have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead [1].
Why It Matters
The contract measures which of the two named players wins the scheduled match. Its rules also define how the market settles in less common outcomes, such as cancellation, a tie, a long delay, a walkover, or a player advancing after the opponent retires, is defaulted, or is disqualified [1]. Traders reading the prices should check these rules, since they determine whether a market settles to a winner or to 50-50 [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-03 at 21:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What happens if the match is not played?
If the match is canceled and not played at all, the market resolves 50-50 [1]. A walkover, where a player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically, also resolves 50-50 [1].
What happens if the match starts but is not finished?
If one player advances because the opponent retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances [1].
Which source decides the result?
The primary source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If final statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event ends, a consensus of credible reporting may be used [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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