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Events
GroupKALSHI

What will Trump say during his rally in Waco, Texas?

What will Trump say during his rally in Waco, Texas?
Vol

K 786.71 contracts

|
Events

1

|
Markets

35

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 20, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Sleepy Joe at 78.5%.

Kalshi

  1. Sleepy Joe78.5%
  2. China / Chinese77.5%
  3. Cheat / Cheater / Cheating77%
  4. ICE75%
  5. Tariff (3+ times)71%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 786.71 contracts

Reported volume ยท provider units

35

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 20, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

About This Event

Donald Trump - midterm rally in Waco, Texas originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 If Donald Trump says X as part of midterm rally in Waco, Texas originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the midterm rally in Waco, Texas originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external, official, transcripts of the midterm rally in Waco, Texas originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases, e.g. names, titles, etc. Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify, e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic. Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics
What will Trump say during his rally in Lubbock, Texas?

What will Trump say during his rally in Lubbock, Texas?

K 1.3K contracts
What will Donald Trump say during midterm rally in Lubbock, Texas originally scheduled for October 27, 2026? (Save America Act)Yes 91%
What will Donald Trump say during midterm rally in Lubbock, Texas originally scheduled for October 27, 2026? (Sleepy Joe)Yes 77.5%
What will Donald Trump say during midterm rally in Lubbock, Texas originally scheduled for October 27, 2026? (China / Chinese)Yes 76%
+32 moreNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina?

What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina?

K 20.1K contracts
What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Clemson, South Carolina originally scheduled for October 21, 2026? (Save America Act)Yes 93.5%
What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Clemson, South Carolina originally scheduled for October 21, 2026? (China / Chinese)Yes 93.5%
What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Clemson, South Carolina originally scheduled for October 21, 2026? (Sleepy Joe)Yes 82%
+36 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina?

What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina?

K 163.1K contracts
What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Greenville, North Carolina originally scheduled for October 20, 2026? (Transgender)Yes 97.5%
What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Greenville, North Carolina originally scheduled for October 20, 2026? (Save America Act)Yes 96.5%
What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Greenville, North Carolina originally scheduled for October 20, 2026? (Healthcare)Yes 96.5%
+34 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa?

What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa?

K 35.2K contracts
What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Sioux City, Iowa originally scheduled for October 22, 2026? (Transgender)Yes 97.5%
What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Sioux City, Iowa originally scheduled for October 22, 2026? (Save America Act)Yes 95.5%
What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Sioux City, Iowa originally scheduled for October 22, 2026? (Healthcare)Yes 95.5%
+30 moreNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will Trump say during his rally in Michigan?

What will Trump say during his rally in Michigan?

K 39.5K contracts
What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in St. Clair County, Michigan originally scheduled for October 25, 2026? (El-Sayed)Yes 98.5%
What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in St. Clair County, Michigan originally scheduled for October 25, 2026? (Communist / Communism)Yes 95%
What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in St. Clair County, Michigan originally scheduled for October 25, 2026? (Save America Act)Yes 94.5%
+29 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will Trump say during his rally in Georgia?

What will Trump say during his rally in Georgia?

K 9.9K contracts
What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Macon, Georgia originally scheduled for October 24, 2026? (Transgender)Yes 97.5%
What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Macon, Georgia originally scheduled for October 24, 2026? (Save America Act)Yes 94.5%
What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Macon, Georgia originally scheduled for October 24, 2026? (Dividend / Stimulus)Yes 92.5%
+29 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

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Same-question pairs

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