Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
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Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/doge-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair DOGE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-27T03:00:06.103Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This Polymarket event covers the window named in its title, "Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET" [1]. According to the saved rules, the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, over that range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of the range. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is the Chainlink DOGE/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market is "about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair DOGE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader comparing this contract with a spot price chart or another exchange's quote should expect a different measure.
The listed end time is 2026-10-27T18:50:00.000Z [1]. This is the close time in the contract data. It is separate from the resolution, which depends on the stream data described in the rules.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed the market at 2026-10-27T03:00:06.103Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-10-27T04:15:59.335Z [1]. These are times for a saved snapshot. They do not describe current prices, and the provider status recorded for the event, "active," applies only to that saved record [1].
The snapshot lists two outcomes: "Up" at 0.5 and "Down" at 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The record includes no volume, order book depth, or trader counts, so it cannot show how liquid the market was or how many participants held either view.
The sample contains one market from one provider event. The coverage record shows one total market, one included market, and no partial sample [1]. Because this is the only outcome pair saved for the event, no other outcomes are shown.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the two prices are equal at this snapshot. It also contains no later prices, no outcome for the window, and no information about news or other factors affecting Dogecoin. Because the contract compares the TWAP with the price at the start of the range, the result depends on stream data that is not part of this record. A contract on another platform or with different wording should not be compared directly with this one without reviewing its rules.
References
- Polymarket: Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-27T03:00:06.103Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 27, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-window contract on the price of Dogecoin, titled "Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET" and categorized as crypto. It was listed on Polymarket [1]. The contract asks whether Dogecoin's price over a five-minute window finishes at or above where that window began. According to the rules, the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin over the specified range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution does not rely on a general market price or a single exchange. The source states that the resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second interval [1]. The rules also say the contract concerns the price according to that Chainlink data stream for the DOGE/USD pair, and not according to any other sources or spot markets [1]. A reader should therefore treat the contract as a question about one specific data feed, which may differ from prices shown on other platforms. The title and the listed end time reflect the contract's scheduled window. The listed end time is 2026-10-27T18:50:00.000Z, and the provider reported the event as active when it was retrieved [1]. The listed end time marks when the contract window closes. It does not establish the moment of resolution or any outcome.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the Chainlink DOGE/USD TWAP over a five-minute window, as defined in the title, is greater than or equal to the price at the start of that window [1]. Because it uses a time-weighted average rather than a single trade price, the outcome depends on the average across the window compared with the starting level [1]. Readers interested in Dogecoin price direction over short intervals should note that the rules tie the result to this specific data stream and exclude other spot markets [1]. The contract's value to readers is mainly in understanding how the rules define success, since the rules determine the outcome and not general market sentiment.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-27 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this contract resolves Up or Down?
The contract resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price of Dogecoin over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1].
Which data source is used for resolution?
The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second interval [1].
Do prices on other exchanges or spot markets affect the outcome?
The rules state that the market concerns the price according to the Chainlink data stream and not according to any other sources or spot markets [1].
When does the contract window end?
The listed end time is 2026-10-27T18:50:00.000Z, which corresponds to the 2:50PM ET end time in the title [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.