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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts April 28 - May 5, 2026?

Name: Donald Trump # Truth Social posts April 28 - May 5, 2026?
End: 2026-05-05T16:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$100.86K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts April 28 - May 5, 2026?

Vol

$100.86K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $100.86K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $100.86K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

11 markets tracked

Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Poly	41%
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Poly	38%
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Poly	26%
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Poly	13%
Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Poly	8%
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Poly	4%
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Poly	3%
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Poly	1%
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

41%

Top Probability

$100.86K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 28, 12:00 PM ET and May 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 m

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Donald Trump # Truth Social posts April 28 - May 5, 2026?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 5, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 28, 12:00 PM ET and May 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 m

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 28, 12:00 PM ET and May 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $48.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $26.0K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.86)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $2.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.9% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $3.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.3% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $22.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $4.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 8.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.6% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $2.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $4.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 38.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.7% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $2.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 41.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 26.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics