Snapshot observed 2026-10-26T03:00:05.873Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

This contract covers one event on Polymarket titled "Solana Up or Down - October 27, 10PM ET." It resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins at the time in the title. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is Binance SOL/USDT specifically, and the excerpt states that the market "is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs" [1]. The excerpt says the open and close shown for the relevant "1H" candle will be used "once the data for that candle is finalized" [1].

Any comparison with a similar contract on another platform or pair should start by checking these wording differences, because a different exchange, pair, or candle definition would measure a different outcome.

Reading the snapshot

The saved observation for this market was taken at 2026-10-26T03:00:05.873Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-26T05:27:23.183Z [1]. The saved prices are Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot values from the observation time, not current prices, not executable quotes, and not verified probabilities. They reflect only what the provider reported at that moment.

The listed end time is 2026-10-28T03:00:00.000Z, and the provider status at retrieval was active [1]. The listed end time is the provider's close timestamp, not a confirmed resolution. The evidence does not show a final resolution or the final candle data.

The sample covers one market in one saved event, and it is complete for that event: the coverage record shows one total market and one included market, with no partial sample [1]. Because this is a single binary contract, there is no other outcome in the saved set to compare against, and no cross-platform comparison is possible from this evidence.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not explain why the prices sit near even odds, and it does not show trading activity or how many participants hold either side. It also does not include any results from the Binance candle, so the outcome cannot be determined from these materials.

The excerpt specifies the 10PM ET time in the title but does not state how that local time maps to the candle start shown in the listed end time. Readers should confirm the candle timing on the resolution source before relying on the timing.

References

1. Polymarket: Solana Up or Down - October 27, 10PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-26T03:00:05.873Z.