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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15?

Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15?
Vol

PM $177.3K

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Events

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Markets

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AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $177.3K

Reported volume · provider units

1

Saved contracts

0

Reviewed equivalent pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 14 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 15 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 14 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 15 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Reviewed equivalent pairs

0

No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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