ZCash Up or Down - October 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - October 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-26T00:00:05.974Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This market covers the ZCash price over the window from 6:10PM to 6:15PM ET on October 26. It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1]. The named resolution source is the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream. The rules also state that the market is "about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. The listed end time is 2026-10-26T22:15:00.000Z [1].
Reading the snapshot
The saved observation, taken at 2026-10-26T00:00:05.974Z, shows the Up outcome at 0.5 and the Down outcome at 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot prices from one provider event. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The coverage record shows one market, all of which was included, and the sample is not marked as partial [1]. The source was retrieved at 2026-10-26T00:51:47.344Z, when the provider status was active [1]. The observation came about fifty minutes before retrieval, so these prices describe the earlier snapshot only.
If you compare this contract with a similarly titled contract on another platform, check the wording first. The rules here reference Chainlink's ZEC/USD TWAP stream. Another contract may use a different source, window, or end time, so a difference in price does not by itself indicate an opportunity, and the two should not be averaged together.
What remains uncertain
The supplied evidence does not show the ZCash price during the window, the price at the start of the range, or why the two outcomes are priced equally in this snapshot. It also does not show trading activity, depth, or how many participants hold each position. The final result depends on the TWAP data for the window, and the evidence contains no resolution outcome [1]. Because the provider event is the only source here, the sample does not show how other platforms price comparable questions.
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - October 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-26T00:00:05.974Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 26, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-term price contract on Polymarket that asks whether the price of ZCash (ZEC) will be higher or lower over a fixed five-minute window. The event is titled "ZCash Up or Down - October 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET" and is listed in the crypto category [1]. The contract has two outcomes, "Up" and "Down" [1]. The rules define the comparison precisely. The market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price of ZCash over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The result therefore depends on an average taken across the window, compared against the starting price, rather than on the price at the final moment alone. The resolution source is named in the rules as information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The rules state that the market concerns the price shown by that Chainlink data stream for the ZEC/USD pair, and not any other source or spot market [1]. A trader reading the contract should therefore look at that specific feed, since prices on other exchanges or data providers are not the reference for settlement. Timing matters for interpreting the contract. The title gives the window as 6:10PM to 6:15PM ET, and the listed end time in the provider data is 2026-10-26T22:15:00.000Z [1]. The market sample was observed at 2026-10-26T00:00:05.974Z and retrieved from the provider at 2026-10-26T00:51:47.349Z [1]. The observation and retrieval times describe when that record was captured. They do not show the market's status at the time of reading, and the listed end time is when the contract window closes, not a record of how it resolved. At the observed snapshot, both outcomes were priced at 0.5 [1]. A price is a snapshot of the market at one moment. It is not an executable quote, and it is not a verified probability that ZCash will rise. Equal prices at a single observation say nothing about which way the window will eventually resolve. The event is short and rule-driven. Its outcome depends on the Chainlink TWAP comparison described above, and the provider record contains no further information about the asset's price drivers.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the time-weighted average price of ZEC/USD, as reported in a specified Chainlink TWAP data stream, is greater than or equal to the price at the start of the five-minute window in the title [1]. It is a narrow, short-horizon comparison. Because it uses an average over the window rather than a single closing price, the result reflects the price path across the period. Traders and readers who want to understand the contract should focus on the named data stream and the exact window, since the rules specify both [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-26 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this market resolves Up or Down?
The market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price of ZCash over the window in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that window. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1].
Which price source is used to settle the contract?
The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream. The rules state that prices from other sources or spot markets are not the basis for resolution [1].
What time window does the contract cover?
The title gives the window as 6:10PM to 6:15PM ET on October 26, and the listed end time in the provider data is 2026-10-26T22:15:00.000Z [1].
Do equal prices for Up and Down indicate the likely outcome?
No. The observed prices were 0.5 for both outcomes at the snapshot time [1]. A price at one moment is not an executable quote or a verified probability, so it does not indicate which outcome is more likely.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.