This event has ended. Showing historical data.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

La Bisbal: Daria Kasatkina vs Sara Sorribes Tormo

Name: La Bisbal: Daria Kasatkina vs Sara Sorribes Tormo
End: 2026-05-09T09:30:00.000Z

Total Volume

$1.03K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

La Bisbal: Daria Kasatkina vs Sara Sorribes Tormo

Vol

$1.03K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $1.03K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.03K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

9 markets tracked

Kasatkina vs. Tormo: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Kasatkina vs. Tormo: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	66%
Daria Kasatkina vs. Sara Sorribes Tormo: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5	Poly	65%
La Bisbal: Daria Kasatkina vs Sara Sorribes Tormo	Poly	64%
Set 1 Winner: Kasatkina vs Tormo	Poly	62%
Kasatkina vs. Tormo: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	58%
Kasatkina vs. Tormo: Match Over/Under 22.5	Poly	50%
Kasatkina vs. Tormo: Match Over/Under 23.5	Poly	50%
Kasatkina vs. Tormo: Match Over/Under 21.5	Poly	49%
Kasatkina vs. Tormo: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	21%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

66%

Top Probability

$1.03K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the tennis match between Daria Kasatkina and Sara Sorribes Tormo in the La Bisbal, originally scheduled for May 2, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daria Kasatkina' if Daria Kasatkina advances against Sara Sorribes Tormo. This market will resolve to 'Sara Sorribes Tormo' if Sara Sorribes Tormo advances against Daria Kasatkina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner d

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** La Bisbal: Daria Kasatkina vs Sara Sorribes Tormo
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 9, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market refers to the tennis match between Daria Kasatkina and Sara Sorribes Tormo in the La Bisbal, originally scheduled for May 2, 2026 at 5:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Daria Kasatkina' if Daria Kasatkina advances against Sara Sorribes Tormo.

This market will resolve to 'Sara Sorribes Tormo' if Sara Sorribes Tormo advances against Daria Kasatkina.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner d

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the tennis match between Daria Kasatkina and Sara Sorribes Tormo in the La Bisbal, originally scheduled for May 2, 2026 at 5:30AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 22. Otherwise, it will resolve to "U"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $13.1K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.08)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Kasatkina vs. Tormo: Match Over/Under 21.5
- **Polymarket** (End: May 9, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Kasatkina vs. Tormo: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: May 9, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 65.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 34.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Kasatkina vs. Tormo: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: May 9, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 58.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 42.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Kasatkina vs. Tormo: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: May 9, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 79.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Set 1 Winner: Kasatkina vs Tormo
- **Polymarket** (End: May 9, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Kasatkina: 61.5% (0.0%)] | [Tormo: 38.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Kasatkina vs. Tormo: Match Over/Under 22.5
- **Polymarket** (End: May 9, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Kasatkina vs. Tormo: Match Over/Under 23.5
- **Polymarket** (End: May 9, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Daria Kasatkina vs. Sara Sorribes Tormo: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: May 9, 2026): Vol $29
  DATA: [Over 2.5: 65.0% (0.0%)] | [Under 2.5: 35.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. La Bisbal: Daria Kasatkina vs Sara Sorribes Tormo
- **Polymarket** (End: May 9, 2026): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Daria Kasatkina: 63.5% (0.0%)] | [Sara Sorribes Tormo: 36.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports