Market snapshot: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

California vs SMU: Spread

Reported volume

K 1.4K contracts

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

California vs SMU: Spread

Vol

K 1.4K contracts

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Current odds

Snapshot from Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

As of Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is SMU wins by over 1.5 points at 88.5%.

Kalshi

SMU wins by over 1.5 points88.5%
SMU wins by over 2.5 points87.5%
SMU wins by over 3.5 points84.5%
SMU wins by over 4.5 points82.5%
SMU wins by over 5.5 points81.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

27 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

SMU wins by over 1.5 points

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(27)

Market	Platform	Price
SMU wins by over 1.5 points	Kalshi	88.5%
SMU wins by over 2.5 points	Kalshi	87.5%
SMU wins by over 3.5 points	Kalshi	84.5%
SMU wins by over 4.5 points	Kalshi	82.5%
SMU wins by over 5.5 points	Kalshi	81.5%
SMU wins by over 6.5 points	Kalshi	79.5%
SMU wins by over 7.5 points	Kalshi	76.0%
SMU wins by over 9.5 points	Kalshi	73.5%
SMU wins by over 10.5 points	Kalshi	70.5%
SMU wins by over 11.5 points	Kalshi	68.0%
SMU wins by over 13.5 points	Kalshi	64.5%
SMU wins by over 14.5 points	Kalshi	61.5%
SMU wins by over 16.5 points	Kalshi	57.5%
SMU wins by over 17.5 points	Kalshi	54.5%
SMU wins by over 20.5 points	Kalshi	47.5%
SMU wins by over 21.5 points	Kalshi	42.5%
SMU wins by over 23.5 points	Kalshi	39.0%
SMU wins by over 24.5 points	Kalshi	36.5%
SMU wins by over 27.5 points	Kalshi	29.5%
SMU wins by over 30.5 points	Kalshi	23.0%
SMU wins by over 33.5 points	Kalshi	18.0%
SMU wins by over 35.5 points	Kalshi	13.5%
SMU wins by over 38.5 points	Kalshi	10.5%
California wins by over 1.5 points	Kalshi	9.5%
California wins by over 2.5 points	Kalshi	8.0%
California wins by over 4.5 points	Kalshi	5.5%
California wins by over 3.5 points	Kalshi	5.5%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

Needs review: no direct pair assessment is available.

A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 1.4K contracts

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

CAL vs SMU (Oct 24) If SMU wins by more than X points in the California vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: California vs SMU: Spread
Source snapshot: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): K 1.4K contracts
Coverage: 27 of 27 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: SMU wins by over 7.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAFSPREAD-26OCT24CALSMU-SMU8; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafspread-26oct24calsmu
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 76.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 24.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If SMU wins by more than 7.5 points in the California vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: SMU wins by over 6.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAFSPREAD-26OCT24CALSMU-SMU7; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafspread-26oct24calsmu
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0.3 contracts
Outcome Yes: 79.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 20.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If SMU wins by more than 6.5 points in the California vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: SMU wins by over 5.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAFSPREAD-26OCT24CALSMU-SMU6; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafspread-26oct24calsmu
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 81.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 18.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If SMU wins by more than 5.5 points in the California vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: SMU wins by over 4.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAFSPREAD-26OCT24CALSMU-SMU5; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafspread-26oct24calsmu
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 82.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 17.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If SMU wins by more than 4.5 points in the California vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: SMU wins by over 3.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAFSPREAD-26OCT24CALSMU-SMU4; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafspread-26oct24calsmu
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 84.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 15.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If SMU wins by more than 3.5 points in the California vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: SMU wins by over 38.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAFSPREAD-26OCT24CALSMU-SMU39; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafspread-26oct24calsmu
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 10.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 89.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If SMU wins by more than 38.5 points in the California vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: SMU wins by over 35.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAFSPREAD-26OCT24CALSMU-SMU36; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafspread-26oct24calsmu
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 13.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 86.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If SMU wins by more than 35.5 points in the California vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: SMU wins by over 33.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAFSPREAD-26OCT24CALSMU-SMU34; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafspread-26oct24calsmu
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 18.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 82.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If SMU wins by more than 33.5 points in the California vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: SMU wins by over 30.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAFSPREAD-26OCT24CALSMU-SMU31; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafspread-26oct24calsmu
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 23.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 77.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If SMU wins by more than 30.5 points in the California vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: SMU wins by over 2.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAFSPREAD-26OCT24CALSMU-SMU3; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafspread-26oct24calsmu
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 87.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 12.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If SMU wins by more than 2.5 points in the California vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: SMU wins by over 27.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAFSPREAD-26OCT24CALSMU-SMU28; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafspread-26oct24calsmu
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 29.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 70.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If SMU wins by more than 27.5 points in the California vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: SMU wins by over 24.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAFSPREAD-26OCT24CALSMU-SMU25; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafspread-26oct24calsmu
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 36.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 63.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If SMU wins by more than 24.5 points in the California vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: SMU wins by over 23.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAFSPREAD-26OCT24CALSMU-SMU24; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafspread-26oct24calsmu
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 39.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 61.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If SMU wins by more than 23.5 points in the California vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: SMU wins by over 21.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAFSPREAD-26OCT24CALSMU-SMU22; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafspread-26oct24calsmu
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 8.37 contracts
Outcome Yes: 42.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 57.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If SMU wins by more than 21.5 points in the California vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: SMU wins by over 20.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAFSPREAD-26OCT24CALSMU-SMU21; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafspread-26oct24calsmu
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 95.5 contracts
Outcome Yes: 47.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 52.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If SMU wins by more than 20.5 points in the California vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: SMU wins by over 1.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAFSPREAD-26OCT24CALSMU-SMU2; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafspread-26oct24calsmu
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 88.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 11.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If SMU wins by more than 1.5 points in the California vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: SMU wins by over 17.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAFSPREAD-26OCT24CALSMU-SMU18; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafspread-26oct24calsmu
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 1.1K contracts
Outcome Yes: 54.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 45.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If SMU wins by more than 17.5 points in the California vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: SMU wins by over 16.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAFSPREAD-26OCT24CALSMU-SMU17; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafspread-26oct24calsmu
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 185.91 contracts
Outcome Yes: 57.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 42.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If SMU wins by more than 16.5 points in the California vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: SMU wins by over 14.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAFSPREAD-26OCT24CALSMU-SMU15; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafspread-26oct24calsmu
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 61.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 38.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If SMU wins by more than 14.5 points in the California vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: SMU wins by over 13.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAFSPREAD-26OCT24CALSMU-SMU14; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafspread-26oct24calsmu
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 64.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 35.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If SMU wins by more than 13.5 points in the California vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: SMU wins by over 11.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAFSPREAD-26OCT24CALSMU-SMU12; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafspread-26oct24calsmu
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 68.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 32.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If SMU wins by more than 11.5 points in the California vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: SMU wins by over 10.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAFSPREAD-26OCT24CALSMU-SMU11; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafspread-26oct24calsmu
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 70.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 29.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If SMU wins by more than 10.5 points in the California vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: SMU wins by over 9.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAFSPREAD-26OCT24CALSMU-SMU10; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafspread-26oct24calsmu
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 73.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 26.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If SMU wins by more than 9.5 points in the California vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: California wins by over 4.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAFSPREAD-26OCT24CALSMU-CAL5; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafspread-26oct24calsmu
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 5.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 94.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If California wins by more than 4.5 points in the California vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: California wins by over 3.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAFSPREAD-26OCT24CALSMU-CAL4; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafspread-26oct24calsmu
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 5.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 94.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If California wins by more than 3.5 points in the California vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: California wins by over 2.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAFSPREAD-26OCT24CALSMU-CAL3; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafspread-26oct24calsmu
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 8.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 92.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If California wins by more than 2.5 points in the California vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: California wins by over 1.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAFSPREAD-26OCT24CALSMU-CAL2; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafspread-26oct24calsmu
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 9.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 90.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If California wins by more than 1.5 points in the California vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

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