Barendrecht vs Amsterdamsche FC: Spread
K 0 contracts
1
4
Barendrecht vs Amsterdamsche FC: Spread
K 0 contracts
1
4
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 0 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
4
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 17, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
BAR vs AMS (Oct 17) If Barendrecht wins by more than X goals in the Barendrecht vs Amsterdamsche FC professional Tweede Divisie soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T21:00:06.041Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The supplied evidence covers one Kalshi event, "Barendrecht vs Amsterdamsche FC: Spread," for a Tweede Divisie match originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 [1]. Each contract asks whether one side wins by more than a stated number of goals. The rules say the market resolves to Yes if the margin exceeds X goals "after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties" [1]. Two markets use a 2.5-goal threshold and two use 1.5 goals, and they are not interchangeable because the margin requirement differs.
The listed contract end date is October 19, 2026 at 13:00 UTC for all four markets [1]. This is a contract closing field, not the match date. The source excerpt separately states "Listed end time: not supplied," so the record does not clarify how the two fields relate. Readers should check the provider page directly before relying on any closing time.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is October 16, 2026 at 21:00:06 UTC, and the record was retrieved on October 17, 2026 at 01:47:19 UTC [1]. The prices below describe that observation only and are not current quotes.
- Barendrecht wins by more than 2.5 goals: Yes 0.50, No 0.50
- Amsterdamsche FC wins by more than 2.5 goals: Yes 0.50, No 0.50
- Amsterdamsche FC wins by more than 1.5 goals: Yes 0.20, No 0.80
- Barendrecht wins by more than 1.5 goals: Yes 0.19, No 0.81
The source reports all four saved markets for this event, with no partial sample [1]. Each row's Yes and No prices sum to 1.00. Because the contracts ask different questions, the rows should be read separately. The 1.5 and 2.5 thresholds are not directly comparable, and the two sides' prices should not be averaged or combined into a single estimate.
These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The record contains no volume or liquidity figures, so it says nothing about depth or trader participation.
What remains uncertain
The sample covers only the saved markets for this event. The source states that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1], so the absence of other margin thresholds should not be read as meaning those outcomes are unlikely. The evidence also contains no explanation for why the prices are where they are, and no information about news or team conditions. Finally, the snapshot predates the retrieval time by several hours, so the prices may have changed since the observation.
References
- Kalshi: Barendrecht vs Amsterdamsche FC: Spread. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T21:00:06.041Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 17, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a spread contract on the professional Tweede Divisie soccer match between Barendrecht and Amsterdamsche FC, listed on Kalshi. The event is titled "Barendrecht vs Amsterdamsche FC: Spread," and the match is described in the rules as originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 [1]. The contract is about the goal margin in a single team's favor. Each market asks whether one side wins by more than a stated number of goals. Under the rules, the result is measured after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties are not included [1]. If the stated condition is met, the market resolves to Yes [1]. The saved event includes four markets: Barendrecht winning by more than 1.5 goals, Barendrecht winning by more than 2.5 goals, Amsterdamsche FC winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Amsterdamsche FC winning by more than 2.5 goals [1]. Each market has a Yes and a No outcome. Because the markets use different thresholds and different teams, they should be read separately rather than compared as a single ranking of outcomes. The provider states that it is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or officially connected with the Governing League [1]. The event rules also say the market will close and expire after a winner is declared [1].
Why It Matters
The contract measures the goal margin of one completed match rather than who wins outright. A Yes result depends on the score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, so a draw or a smaller margin in regular time means the threshold is not met [1]. This makes the contract narrower than a match winner market. Its thresholds are set as X goals in the rules, and the saved markets use 1.5 and 2.5 goals [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 21:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What must happen for a Yes result?
A market resolves to Yes if the named team wins by more than the stated number of goals in the match, measured after 90 minutes plus stoppage time [1].
Do extra time and penalty shootouts count?
No. The rules state that the measurement does not include extra time or penalties [1].
When does the market end?
The rules say the market closes and expires after a winner is declared [1]. The saved market data also lists an end date of October 19, 2026, but the provider's event rules do not present that date as the match date, so it should not be read as the date the game is played [1].
Are the prices in these markets guaranteed?
The saved prices are snapshots taken at the observation time for this entry, and they are not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The four included markets show Yes prices of 0.5, 0.5, 0.2 and 0.19 for the thresholds listed above [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
0
No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
