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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Primeira Liga: 16th Place (Relegation Survivor)

Name: Primeira Liga: 16th Place (Relegation Survivor)
End: 2026-06-01T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$3.14K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Primeira Liga: 16th Place (Relegation Survivor)

Vol

$3.14K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $3.14K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $3.14K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Will Tondela place 16th for the 2025-26 Primeira Liga season?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Tondela place 16th for the 2025-26 Primeira Liga season?	Poly	47%
Will Nacional place 16th for the 2025-26 Primeira Liga season?	Poly	46%
Will Rio Ave place 16th for the 2025-26 Primeira Liga season?	Poly	46%
Will Arouca place 16th for the 2025-26 Primeira Liga season?	Poly	44%
Will Estrela da Amadora place 16th for the 2025-26 Primeira Liga season?	Poly	43%
Will Casa Pia place 16th for the 2025-26 Primeira Liga season?	Poly	34%
Will Santa Clara place 16th for the 2025-26 Primeira Liga season?	Poly	20%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

47%

Top Probability

$3.14K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga (e.g. they mathematically cannot finish in 16th), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2025-2026 Primeira Liga season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 16th place team declared with

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Primeira Liga: 16th Place (Relegation Survivor)
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 1, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga (e.g. they mathematically cannot finish in 16th), the associated market will resolve to "No". 

If the 2025-2026 Primeira Liga season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 16th place team declared with

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga (e.g. they mathematically cannot finish in 16"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $135
* **Total Liquidity:** $146
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.92)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Estrela da Amadora place 16th for the 2025-26 Primeira Liga season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 43.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Tondela place 16th for the 2025-26 Primeira Liga season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 46.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Santa Clara place 16th for the 2025-26 Primeira Liga season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Casa Pia place 16th for the 2025-26 Primeira Liga season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 34.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Rio Ave place 16th for the 2025-26 Primeira Liga season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 1, 2026): Vol $130
  DATA: [Yes: 45.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Arouca place 16th for the 2025-26 Primeira Liga season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 1, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 44.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Nacional place 16th for the 2025-26 Primeira Liga season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 46.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports