Pro Football: Lamar Jackson 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Yards
PM $8.3K
1
5
Pro Football: Lamar Jackson 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Yards
PM $8.3K
1
5
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is 2,749.5+ passing yards at 80.5%.
Polymarket
- 2,749.5+ passing yards80.5%
- 2,999.5+ passing yards70%
- 3,249.5+ passing yards55.5%
- 3,499.5+ passing yards34.5%
- 3,749.5+ passing yards22.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $8.3K
Reported volume · provider units
5
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing yards Lamar Jackson records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Lamar Jackson does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing yards Lamar Jackson recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-18T00:00:06.191Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
These markets come from one Polymarket event on Lamar Jackson's regular season passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL season [1]. Each contract asks whether he will record at least a stated number of passing yards. The thresholds in this snapshot are 2,749.5, 2,999.5, 3,249.5, 3,499.5 and 3,749.5 yards [1]. A "Yes" resolution requires the total to equal or exceed the listed number, and the market resolves "No" if Jackson does not play in the regular season for any reason [1]. The market resolves to "50-50" if the season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or if the yardage cannot be determined within that timeframe [1]. The listed end time is 2027-01-27T04:59:00.000Z [1]. This is a closing time in the contract data, not an announced event date. The resolution source is official NFL information, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1].
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-18T00:00:06.191Z, and the application retrieved the source at 2026-10-18T00:53:23.796Z [1]. These figures are snapshots, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. Yes prices fall as the threshold rises: 0.725 at 2,749.5, 0.72 at 2,999.5, 0.585 at 3,249.5, 0.315 at 3,499.5 and 0.24 at 3,749.5 [1]. Each Yes price pairs with a No price that sums to 1.00 [1]. Each threshold is a separate contract with its own payoff, so the step-down shows how quoted prices change across yardage levels. It does not rank outcomes against each other.
Only one platform appears in this sample, so no cross-platform comparison is made. The coverage record lists five total markets, all five included, with no partial sample [1]. The selection method ranks markets by Yes price, so the sample is complete for this saved event but does not show every possible real-world threshold [1]. The supplied excerpt includes no volume data, so these prices say nothing about liquidity or how many people are trading.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why prices sit where they do, and this response does not infer causes. The snapshot reflects conditions at the observation time only and does not show later prices. The "50-50" rule means the contracts are not limited to a simple Yes or No settlement. Readers comparing these contracts should read the full resolution terms and the official NFL information the rules name before relying on any price.
References
- Polymarket: Pro Football: Lamar Jackson 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Yards. Provider data observed 2026-10-18T00:00:06.191Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 18, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Polymarket event titled "Pro Football: Lamar Jackson 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Yards." Each contract in the event asks whether Lamar Jackson will record at least a listed number of passing yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season [1]. The contracts are threshold markets. The saved event includes five thresholds: 2,749.5, 2,999.5, 3,249.5, 3,499.5 and 3,749.5 passing yards [1]. Each market is a separate yes or no question about the same underlying number of yards. The resolution rule is straightforward. A market resolves "Yes" if the passing yards Jackson records during the regular season equal or exceed the listed number, and "No" otherwise [1]. If Jackson does not play in the 2026-27 regular season for any reason, the market resolves "No" [1]. The rules also address season disruption. If the regular season is shortened, truncated or ends early, the outcome is determined from available official data for completed games [1]. If the season is cancelled, or is postponed after January 26, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, or if the yardage cannot be determined for that period, the market resolves "50-50" [1]. The rules name the NFL's official information as the resolution source, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1]. The event's listed end time is 2027-01-27T04:59:00Z [1]. That is a date written into the contract rules and is not an announced event date. It also does not mean the season's schedule has been confirmed by this entry. Jackson is the player whose statistics the contracts track. Background on him is limited to general reference material. Wikipedia describes him as an American professional football quarterback for the Baltimore Ravens of the National Football League [2]. That description identifies his team and position, but it does not establish his health, roster status or expected workload for the 2026-27 season.
Historical Context
The supplied background on the NFL season structure comes from the Wikipedia article on the 2024 NFL season. That article states that the 2024 season was the league's 105th season and began on September 5, 2024 [3]. It also states that the regular season concluded on January 5, 2025 [3]. These facts describe a past season. They illustrate how a regular season can run from early September into early January, but they do not describe the 2026-27 schedule or any event in that season.
Why It Matters
The contracts measure one specific quantity: the passing yards Lamar Jackson records in the 2026-27 NFL regular season [1]. Because the event lists several thresholds, the same underlying performance is expressed as separate questions at different levels. A market near the lower threshold asks a different question than one near the higher threshold, even though both depend on the same season total [1]. The rules also show that outcomes depend on more than performance. Missing games, a shortened season or an undeterminable yardage total can change how a contract resolves [1]. Prices shown on these markets are snapshots taken at the observation time. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-18 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does each contract in this event measure?
Each contract asks whether Lamar Jackson will record at least a listed number of passing yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season [1]. The listed thresholds in the saved event are 2,749.5, 2,999.5, 3,249.5, 3,499.5 and 3,749.5 [1].
What happens if Jackson does not play in the regular season?
The rules state that if Lamar Jackson does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, the market resolves "No" [1].
How is the outcome handled if the season is shortened or cancelled?
If the regular season is shortened, truncated or ends early, the outcome is determined using available official data for completed games [1]. If the season is cancelled, or is postponed after January 26, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, or if the yardage cannot be determined for that timeframe, the market resolves "50-50" [1].
Who determines the resolution?
The resolution source is official information from the NFL, although a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1].
Is the contract's end date the date of a scheduled event?
No. The listed end time of 2027-01-27T04:59:00Z appears in the contract information as a listed end time [1]. The rules' January 26, 2027 postponement cutoff is a condition for resolution and is not an announced event date [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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