Market snapshot: Oct 18, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Atlanta vs Miami: First Goalscorer

Reported volume

K 12.8K contracts

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Atlanta vs Miami: First Goalscorer

Vol

K 12.8K contracts

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Provider overview

polymarket

Reported lifetime volume

kalshi

12.8K contracts

Reported lifetime volume

Reviewed equivalent pairs

No eligible price comparison

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Price ChartContract price history

20 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

No Goal: First Goalscorer

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(20)

Market	Platform	Price
No Goal: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	49.5%
Lionel Messi: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	29.5%
Luis Suarez: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	15.5%
Breel Embolo: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	9.5%
German Berterame: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	8.5%
Aleksey Miranchuk: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	8.0%
Miguel Almiron: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	7.5%
Giuliano Galoppo: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	5.5%
Casemiro: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	4.5%
Rodrigo De Paul: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	4.0%
Tristan Muyumba: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	4.0%
Sergio Reguilon: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	3.5%
Micael: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	3.5%
Gonzalo Lujan: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	3.5%
David Ayala: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	3.5%
Tomas Jacob: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	3.5%
Paulo Diaz: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	3.5%
Mauricio Amaro: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	3.5%
Elias Baez: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	3.5%
Junior Alonso: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	3.0%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

Needs review: no direct pair assessment is available.

A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 12.8K contracts

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Reviewed equivalent pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 18, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

About This Event

ATL vs MIA (Oct 17) If X records the first goal during the entire game, regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods, of the Atlanta vs Miami professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to a player in the entire game, regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods, of the Atlanta vs Miami professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Atlanta vs Miami: First Goalscorer
Source snapshot: Oct 18, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): K 12.8K contracts
Coverage: 20 of 20 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: No Goal: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT17ATLMIA-NOGOAL; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct17atlmia
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 19, 2026, 11:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 49.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 50.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If no player records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Atlanta vs Miami professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Atlanta vs Miami professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Sergio Reguilon: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT17ATLMIA-MIASREGUI3; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct17atlmia
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 19, 2026, 11:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 3.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Sergio Reguilon records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Atlanta vs Miami professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Atlanta vs Miami professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Rodrigo De Paul: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT17ATLMIA-MIARDEPA7; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct17atlmia
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 19, 2026, 11:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 416.68 contracts
Outcome Yes: 4.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Rodrigo De Paul records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Atlanta vs Miami professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Atlanta vs Miami professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Micael: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT17ATLMIA-MIAMICA13; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct17atlmia
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 19, 2026, 11:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 3.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Micael records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Atlanta vs Miami professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Atlanta vs Miami professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Luis Suarez: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT17ATLMIA-MIALSUARE9; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct17atlmia
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 19, 2026, 11:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 4.2K contracts
Outcome Yes: 15.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 84.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Luis Suarez records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Atlanta vs Miami professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Atlanta vs Miami professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Lionel Messi: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT17ATLMIA-MIALMESSI10; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct17atlmia
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 19, 2026, 11:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 5.6K contracts
Outcome Yes: 29.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 70.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Lionel Messi records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Atlanta vs Miami professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Atlanta vs Miami professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Gonzalo Lujan: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT17ATLMIA-MIAGLUJAN2; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct17atlmia
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 19, 2026, 11:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 3.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Gonzalo Lujan records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Atlanta vs Miami professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Atlanta vs Miami professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: German Berterame: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT17ATLMIA-MIAGBERTE19; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct17atlmia
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 19, 2026, 11:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 670.89 contracts
Outcome Yes: 8.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 91.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If German Berterame records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Atlanta vs Miami professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Atlanta vs Miami professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: David Ayala: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT17ATLMIA-MIADAYALA22; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct17atlmia
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 19, 2026, 11:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 3.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If David Ayala records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Atlanta vs Miami professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Atlanta vs Miami professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Casemiro: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT17ATLMIA-MIACASE18; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct17atlmia
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 19, 2026, 11:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 666.94 contracts
Outcome Yes: 4.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 95.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Casemiro records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Atlanta vs Miami professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Atlanta vs Miami professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Tristan Muyumba: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT17ATLMIA-ATLTMUYUM8; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct17atlmia
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 19, 2026, 11:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 99.35 contracts
Outcome Yes: 4.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Tristan Muyumba records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Atlanta vs Miami professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Atlanta vs Miami professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Tomas Jacob: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT17ATLMIA-ATLTJACOB55; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct17atlmia
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 19, 2026, 11:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 3.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Tomas Jacob records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Atlanta vs Miami professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Atlanta vs Miami professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Paulo Diaz: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT17ATLMIA-ATLPDIAZ27; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct17atlmia
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 19, 2026, 11:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 3.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Paulo Diaz records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Atlanta vs Miami professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Atlanta vs Miami professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Mauricio Amaro: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT17ATLMIA-ATLMAMARO14; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct17atlmia
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 19, 2026, 11:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 3.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Mauricio Amaro records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Atlanta vs Miami professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Atlanta vs Miami professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Miguel Almiron: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT17ATLMIA-ATLMALMIR10; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct17atlmia
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 19, 2026, 11:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 348.07 contracts
Outcome Yes: 7.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 92.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Miguel Almiron records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Atlanta vs Miami professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Atlanta vs Miami professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Junior Alonso: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT17ATLMIA-ATLJALONS6; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct17atlmia
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 19, 2026, 11:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 3.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Junior Alonso records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Atlanta vs Miami professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Atlanta vs Miami professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Giuliano Galoppo: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT17ATLMIA-ATLGGALOP11; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct17atlmia
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 19, 2026, 11:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 5.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 94.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Giuliano Galoppo records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Atlanta vs Miami professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Atlanta vs Miami professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Elias Baez: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT17ATLMIA-ATLEBAEZ3; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct17atlmia
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 19, 2026, 11:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 3.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Elias Baez records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Atlanta vs Miami professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Atlanta vs Miami professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Breel Embolo: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT17ATLMIA-ATLBEMBOL36; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct17atlmia
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 19, 2026, 11:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 926.91 contracts
Outcome Yes: 9.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 90.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Breel Embolo records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Atlanta vs Miami professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Atlanta vs Miami professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Aleksey Miranchuk: First Goalscorer
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLSFIRSTGOAL-26OCT17ATLMIA-ATLAMIRAN59; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlsfirstgoal-26oct17atlmia
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 19, 2026, 11:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 8.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 92.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Aleksey Miranchuk records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Atlanta vs Miami professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Atlanta vs Miami professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market will settle to the fair market price before game start. If the first qualifying goal is scored before the player enters the match as a substitute, the market will also settle to the fair market price. If the player enters the match before the first qualifying goal is scored, the market resolves based on the player's goals scored. If the first goal of the match is an own goal, the first qualifying goal will instead be the first non-own goal scored. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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