Snapshot observed 2026-11-03T21:00:06.031Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

This event covers the first-half result of the Milwaukee vs Boston game, which the source describes as "originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026" [1]. Three separate contracts are listed. Each resolves to Yes or No based on the first-half outcome: "If X wins the 1st half of the Milwaukee vs Boston Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes" [1]. The source adds that "Only points scored during the 1st half count towards this market" [1]. The contracts are "Boston wins the 1st half," "Milwaukee wins the 1st half," and "Tie in the 1st half" [1]. Because the first-half wording matters, a full-game result would not settle these contracts.

Reading the snapshot

The saved prices were observed at 2026-11-03T21:00:06Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-11-04T05:43:53Z [1]. These are historical records. They do not show live prices at the time you read this. The quoted Yes prices were 0.73 for Boston, 0.18 for Milwaukee, and 0.03 for a tie [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. Because each contract is a separate question, the three prices should not be averaged or combined into one forecast. They also should not be treated as an arbitrage signal just because they differ.

The market records list an end date of 2026-11-07T00:30:00Z for each contract [1]. However, the source excerpt states "Listed end time: not supplied" and says the market "will close and expire after a winner is declared" [1]. The listed end date is therefore a provider field, not an announced event date, and it does not confirm when the game will be played or resolved.

What remains uncertain

The sample includes all three saved Kalshi markets for this event, and it is not a partial sample [1]. However, the provider's sample warning states that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Volume, liquidity, and trader counts are not supplied, so the snapshot cannot show how deep or active these markets were. The reasons prices sit where they do are also not in the evidence. Finally, the excerpt does not confirm whether the game has been played, so no result should be inferred from these records.

References

1. Kalshi: Milwaukee vs Boston: 1st Half Winner. Provider data observed 2026-11-03T21:00:06.031Z.