Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 31, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
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Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 31, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-31T09:00:05.941Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This snapshot covers one market from Polymarket, titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 31, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET" [1]. According to the provider excerpt, it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1].
The resolution source is the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream named in the rules, and the excerpt states that other sources or spot markets do not govern the outcome [1]. Readers comparing contracts should check this wording closely. A similarly named market on another platform, or one that uses a different price feed or time window, may not settle the same way.
The listed end time is 2026-10-31T22:55:00.000Z [1]. This is the provider's listed close time, not a record of when the contract actually resolved. The saved excerpt does not show a resolution outcome.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-10-31T09:00:05.941Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-31T13:03:25.232Z [1]. These are two different timestamps, and both describe a past moment rather than live trading. The saved status is "active," but the evidence does not show prices after the observation time.
The recorded prices are Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The gap between them is small, and it should not be read as a forecast of the HYPE/USD price or as a sign of market agreement. The evidence includes no volume or trader count, so it cannot indicate liquidity or depth.
The sample covers one market out of one saved market for this provider event, and it is not a partial sample [1]. Because only one contract is included, there are no other outcomes to compare against.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why prices were at these levels at the observation time. It also does not show prices, news, or resolution results after 09:00 UTC on October 31, 2026. The saved source excerpt does not describe any other platform's contract for the same window, so cross-platform comparison is not possible from this record.
References
- Polymarket: Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 31, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-31T09:00:05.941Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 31, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-duration price contract on Hyperliquid, the price of the HYPE/USD pair, listed on Polymarket under the title "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 31, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET" [1]. The contract asks whether the time-weighted average price (TWAP) over the five-minute window named in the title will be greater than or equal to the price at the start of that window. If it is, the market resolves to "Up". If it is not, it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution rule relies on a single data source. The source states that Chainlink generates the TWAP figure, and that the resolution source is information from Chainlink's HYPE/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The contract is explicitly tied to that data stream for the HYPE/USD pair. It does not refer to other price sources or spot markets [1]. Traders therefore need to understand how that Chainlink feed behaves, not only the general market price of HYPE. The listing record shows the event as active, with a listed end time of 2026-10-31T22:55:00Z [1]. That end time is the scheduled close of the contract window, not a record of the outcome. The sample used here was observed at 2026-10-31T09:00:05Z and retrieved at 2026-10-31T13:03:25Z [1]. At the observation time, the saved outcome prices were 0.505 for Up and 0.495 for Down [1]. These are snapshot prices from that time, not executable quotes, and they do not indicate what the market shows now or how the contract will resolve.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the Chainlink TWAP for HYPE/USD over the named five-minute window ends at or above the starting price [1]. Because it uses an average over the window rather than a single moment's price, the outcome depends on the path of the price during the window as recorded by that data stream [1]. The contract's wording limits resolution to this one feed, so its outcome should be read against that feed rather than against other exchanges or general market commentary [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-31 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What makes this contract resolve Up?
It resolves Up if the time-weighted average price of HYPE over the stated time range, as generated by Chainlink, is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
What makes it resolve Down?
If the Chainlink TWAP over the time range is below the price at the beginning of that range, the market resolves Down [1].
Which price source determines the outcome?
The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The rules say the contract is not based on any other sources or spot markets [1].
When does the contract end?
The listed end time in the provider record is 2026-10-31T22:55:00Z [1]. The record also shows the event as active at the time it was retrieved [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.