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Seattle vs Miami: Home Runs

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Seattle vs Miami: Home Runs

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Polymarket

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32 markets tracked

Griffin Conine: 1+ home runs?

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Single-Platform Markets(32)

Market	Platform	Price
Griffin Conine: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	100%
J.P. Crawford: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	27%
Cal Raleigh: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	12%
Dominic Canzone: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	9%
Randy Arozarena: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	7%
Kyle Stowers: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	7%
Josh Naylor: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	6%
Luke Raley: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	6%
Griffin Conine: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	6%
Heriberto Hernández: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	6%
Colt Emerson: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	6%
Xavier Edwards: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	5%
Otto Lopez: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	5%
Liam Hicks: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	5%
Leo Jiménez: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	5%
J.P. Crawford: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	5%
Jakob Marsee: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	4%
Esteury Ruiz: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	4%
Cole Young: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	4%
Victor Robles: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	4%
Luke Raley: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	2%
Colt Emerson: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	2%
Liam Hicks: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%
Cal Raleigh: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%
Otto Lopez: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%
Kyle Stowers: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%
Josh Naylor: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%
Jakob Marsee: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%
Heriberto Hernández: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%
Dominic Canzone: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%
Cole Young: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%
Randy Arozarena: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

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About This Event

SEA vs MIA (Jul 9) If X records 1+ home runs in Seattle vs Miami professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Player Participation & X is scratched or not included in the starting lineup, the market will resolve to the fair market price. Y starts the game but does not record a plate appearance, the market will resolve to the fair market price. Y is not in the starting lineup but later enters the game, the market will resolve to

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Seattle vs Miami: Home Runs
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** SEA vs MIA (Jul 9)

If X records 1+ home runs in Seattle vs Miami professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Player Participation & X is scratched or not included in the starting lineup, the market will resolve to the fair market price. Y starts the game but does not record a plate appearance, the market will resolve to the fair market price. Y is not in the starting lineup but later enters the game, the market will resolve to

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Xavier Edwards records 1+ home runs in Seattle vs Miami professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria
If Xavier Edwards is scratched or not included in the starting lineu"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Xavier Edwards: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Victor Robles: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Otto Lopez: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Otto Lopez: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Luke Raley: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Luke Raley: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Liam Hicks: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Liam Hicks: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Leo Jiménez: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Kyle Stowers: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Kyle Stowers: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Josh Naylor: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Josh Naylor: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Jakob Marsee: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Jakob Marsee: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. J.P. Crawford: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. J.P. Crawford: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 27.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Heriberto Hernández: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Heriberto Hernández: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Griffin Conine: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Griffin Conine: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Esteury Ruiz: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Dominic Canzone: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 24. Dominic Canzone: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 25. Colt Emerson: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 26. Colt Emerson: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 27. Cole Young: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 28. Cole Young: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 29. Randy Arozarena: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 30. Randy Arozarena: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 31. Cal Raleigh: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 32. Cal Raleigh: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Seattle vs Miami: Home Runs

Volume$0.00

Markets32

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KALSHI

Griffin Conine: 1+ home runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIWorld

CLOSING SOON

Griffin Conine: 1+ home runs?

If Griffin Conine records 1+ home runs in Seattle vs Miami professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Griffin Conine is scratched or not included in the starting lineu

KALSHI

J.P. Crawford: 1+ home runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 27.0¢No 73.0¢

KALSHIWorld

CLOSING SOON

J.P. Crawford: 1+ home runs?

If J.P. Crawford records 1+ home runs in Seattle vs Miami professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If J.P. Crawford is scratched or not included in the starting lineup,

KALSHI

Cal Raleigh: 1+ home runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 11.5¢No 88.5¢

KALSHIWorld

CLOSING SOON

Cal Raleigh: 1+ home runs?

If Cal Raleigh records 1+ home runs in Seattle vs Miami professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Cal Raleigh is scratched or not included in the starting lineup, the

KALSHI

Dominic Canzone: 1+ home runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 8.5¢No 91.5¢

KALSHIWorld

CLOSING SOON

Dominic Canzone: 1+ home runs?

If Dominic Canzone records 1+ home runs in Seattle vs Miami professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Dominic Canzone is scratched or not included in the starting lin

KALSHI

Randy Arozarena: 1+ home runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 7.0¢No 93.0¢

KALSHIWorld

CLOSING SOON

Randy Arozarena: 1+ home runs?

If Randy Arozarena records 1+ home runs in Seattle vs Miami professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Randy Arozarena is scratched or not included in the starting lin

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Seattle vs Miami: Home Runs

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Griffin Conine: 1+ home runs?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Seattle vs Miami: Home Runs

Markets (32)

Griffin Conine: 1+ home runs?

Griffin Conine: 1+ home runs?

J.P. Crawford: 1+ home runs?

J.P. Crawford: 1+ home runs?

Cal Raleigh: 1+ home runs?

Cal Raleigh: 1+ home runs?

Dominic Canzone: 1+ home runs?

Dominic Canzone: 1+ home runs?

Randy Arozarena: 1+ home runs?

Randy Arozarena: 1+ home runs?

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Griffin Conine: 1+ home runs?

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Seattle vs Miami: Home Runs

Griffin Conine: 1+ home runs?

Griffin Conine: 1+ home runs?

J.P. Crawford: 1+ home runs?

J.P. Crawford: 1+ home runs?

Cal Raleigh: 1+ home runs?

Cal Raleigh: 1+ home runs?

Dominic Canzone: 1+ home runs?

Dominic Canzone: 1+ home runs?

Randy Arozarena: 1+ home runs?

Randy Arozarena: 1+ home runs?

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