Mukono Super Smash T20: Mpata vs Ntunda - Toss Match Double
PM $0
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Mukono Super Smash T20: Mpata vs Ntunda - Toss Match Double
PM $0
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Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is MPA at 50%.
Polymarket
- MPA50%
- Draw50%
- NTU50%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
3
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Mpata and Ntunda scheduled for 2026-07-30 in Mukono Super Smash T20. The outcome corresponding to Mpata will be considered correct if Mpata is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Ntunda will be considered correct if Ntunda is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T00:00:06.034Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The saved Polymarket event covers the pre-match coin toss combined with the final match result for the Mpata versus Ntunda cricket match [1]. The "Mpata Winner" contract pays out if Mpata is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The "Ntunda Winner" contract works the same way for Ntunda. The "Draw" contract covers every other case, including when the toss and match winners differ or when no match winner is recorded [1].
The rules treat several outcomes as ordinary wins. These include DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeits, and Super Over tiebreaks [1]. A match that is permanently canceled or abandoned without an official winner resolves to "Draw" [1]. A postponed match keeps the market open until the listed fixture is completed [1].
The listed end time is 2026-08-07T03:00:00.000Z [1]. The excerpt gives the scheduled match date as 2026-07-30 [1]. Both dates are in the contract text, and neither is an announced event date for this snapshot.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-10-16T00:00:06.034Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-16T01:21:30.868Z [1]. The snapshot shows all three contracts with a Yes price of 0.5 and a No price of 0.5 [1]. Because these are snapshot prices, they are not executable quotes or verified probabilities. Yes prices across the three contracts do not sum to a probability total, and the Yes and No sides of each contract do not describe a single agreed view.
The three contracts are not interchangeable. Each one settles on a different condition, so equal prices do not mean the outcomes are equally likely in any verified sense. The snapshot does not explain why the prices are equal, and the saved data includes no volume or trader count to interpret.
The listed end time of 2026-08-07 falls before the retrieval date of 2026-10-16. The status is recorded as active [1]. The evidence does not explain this, so readers should check the current contract status on the platform before relying on it.
What remains uncertain
All three markets for this event are included in the saved sample, and the coverage record marks the sample as not partial [1]. The sample warning still states that this does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome [1]. No official match result, toss result, or resolution appears in the evidence, so the outcome is unknown from this record.
References
- Polymarket: Mukono Super Smash T20: Mpata vs Ntunda - Toss Match Double. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T00:00:06.034Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 16, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This contract is a combined cricket market for a match in the Mukono Super Smash T20 between Mpata and Ntunda. It does not simply ask who wins the match. It asks whether one team wins both the pre-match coin toss and the final match result. The rules state that the Mpata outcome is correct if Mpata is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match, and the Ntunda outcome is correct if Ntunda is officially recorded as winning both [1]. In every other case, including where the toss and match winners differ or no match winner is recorded, the market resolves to "Draw" [1]. The rules also explain how several unusual situations are handled. DLS or DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeits or walkovers, Super Overs, and other on-field rulings that lead the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins [1]. If a match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak, such as a Super Over, the tiebreak winner counts as the match winner for this market. If a tie has no tiebreak used or available, no team is considered the winner and the market resolves to "Draw" [1]. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned, or otherwise finishes without an official winner, the market also resolves to "Draw" [1]. Postponement does not close the contract early. According to the rules, a postponed or rescheduled match leaves the market open until the listed fixture is completed, and it then resolves under the same terms [1]. The rules list the fixture date as 2026-07-30 and a listed end time of 2026-08-07 at 03:00 UTC [1]. The contract is therefore defined by those dates, but a date written in contract rules is not an announcement that the match took place on that day. The saved snapshot records the status of the event as active at its observation time [1]. That is a record of the provider's listing at that moment, not a current check of the contract. The available evidence does not include the toss result or the final match result, so this article does not say which outcome has occurred or how the market has settled.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a combined result rather than a single match winner. A Mpata or Ntunda outcome is correct only when the same team wins both the pre-match toss and the official match result [1]. Because the "Draw" outcome covers mismatched winners as well as matches with no official winner, the three outcomes together describe how the contract's rules sort the possible results [1]. Readers should check the rule text for how ties, cancellations, and postponements are treated, since those rules determine how the contract settles [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-17 at 12:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What counts as a Mpata or Ntunda win in this market?
The team must be officially recorded as winning both the pre-match coin toss and the final match result [1].
What happens if the toss winner and the match winner are different teams?
The market resolves to "Draw" in that case [1].
How are tied matches handled?
If a tie is settled by an on-field tiebreak such as a Super Over, the tiebreak winner is treated as the match winner. If no tiebreak is used or available, the market resolves to "Draw" [1].
What happens if the match is canceled or postponed?
A permanently canceled or abandoned match resolves to "Draw" [1]. A postponed or rescheduled match stays open until the listed fixture is completed, then resolves under the same rules [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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