Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027? | PredictPedia

Events

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIWorld

Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?

Total Volume

$32.63K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $32.63K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $32.63K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed in 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed in 2026?	Kalshi	46%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

46%

Top Probability

$32.63K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Before 2027 If any object is confirmed to be an interstellar visitor before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, January 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
**Category:** World | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before 2027

If any object is confirmed to be an interstellar visitor before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If any object is confirmed to be an interstellar visitor before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $32.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $4.48M
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.01)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed in 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $32.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 46.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

46¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

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Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?

Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?

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Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed in 2026?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)