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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETTech

Which company has the third best AI model end of May?

Name: Which company has the third best AI model end of May?
End: 2026-05-31T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$5.63K

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Which company has the third best AI model end of May?

Vol

$5.63K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $5.63K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $5.63K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

15 markets tracked

Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(15)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Poly	64%
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Poly	27%
Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Poly	8%
Will xAI have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Poly	3%
Will Meta have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Poly	3%
Will DeepSeek have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Poly	2%
Will Moonshot have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Poly	2%
Will Z.ai have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Poly	2%
Will Baidu have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Poly	1%
Will Mistral have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Poly	1%
Will Alibaba have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Poly	1%
Will Meituan have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Poly	1%
Will Microsoft have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Poly	1%
Will Amazon have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Poly	1%
Will ByteDance have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

64%

Top Probability

$5.63K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Which company has the third best AI model end of May?
**Category:** Tech | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 31, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the ""

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $5.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $10.3K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.55)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $480
  DATA: [Yes: 64.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 36.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Alibaba have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $205
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Baidu have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $289
  DATA: [Yes: 1.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.6% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Moonshot have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $289
  DATA: [Yes: 1.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.2% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Z.ai have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $245
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Meituan have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $217
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $268
  DATA: [Yes: 26.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will ByteDance have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $220
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Meta have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $318
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $1000
  DATA: [Yes: 8.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.6% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will xAI have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $315
  DATA: [Yes: 3.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.7% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Amazon have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $329
  DATA: [Yes: 0.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.2% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Mistral have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $636
  DATA: [Yes: 1.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.8% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will DeepSeek have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $536
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Microsoft have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $286
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETTech