Name: France vs. Senegal
End: 2026-06-16T19:00:00.000Z

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France vs. Senegal | PredictPedia

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3 markets tracked

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

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Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Poly	68%
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Poly	20%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?	Poly	12%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, April 17, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** France vs. Senegal
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 16, 2026 (61 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Tuesday, June 16, 2026 between France and Senegal.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 16, 2026
If France wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this mar"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $385
* **Total Liquidity:** $1.3K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.29)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will France win on 2026-06-16?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 16, 2026): Vol $333
  DATA: [Yes: 67.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 32.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 16, 2026): Vol $52
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

60d 15h remaining

Jun 16, 2026 7:00 PM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

33¢

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France vs. Senegal

France vs. Senegal

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Will France win on 2026-06-16?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

France vs. Senegal

Markets (3)

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?

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Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

France vs. Senegal

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?

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Discussion

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