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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Magdeburg - More Markets

FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Magdeburg - More Markets
Vol

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Events

1

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Markets

47

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $0

Reported volume · provider units

47

Saved contracts

0

Reviewed equivalent pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 16, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

About This Event

More markets for the DFB-Pokal game, scheduled for October 28 at 3:45 PM ET.

Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

This snapshot covers one provider event, "FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Magdeburg - More Markets," which the provider describes as "More markets for the DFB-Pokal game, scheduled for October 28 at 3:45 PM ET" [1]. The listed end time is 2026-10-28T19:45:00.000Z, and the provider status was "active" [1]. That end time is the listed close for each included contract. It is not a record of when the match was played or when any contract resolved.

The included contracts use different wording, and that wording determines what each price represents. Some are full-match Over/Under lines at thresholds from 0.5 to 6.5 goals. Others are "1st Half" Over/Under lines at 0.5 and 1.5. Spread contracts, such as "Spread: FC Bayern München (-3.5)," pay out according to the margin named in the title. Each contract's outcome names and rules should be read individually before comparing prices.

Reading the snapshot

The observation time is 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-16T06:00:34.095Z [1]. These prices describe that earlier snapshot, not live trading at the time you read this.

The sample is partial. The event has 47 markets in total, and 12 are included [1]. The selection ranks markets by Yes price, then volume, so the included list is not the full field, and the omitted markets should not be assumed to have lower prices. Within the sample, the Over side of the full-match lines runs from 0.855 for Over 2.5 to 0.695 for Over 3.5 and 0.51 for Over 4.5. Over 5.5 and 6.5 are both listed at 0.5. The 1st Half Over 0.5 contract is at 0.905, while the full-match Over 0.5 is at 0.51. These are different contracts with different windows, so their gap should not be read as a discrepancy or an opportunity.

Prices are snapshot values, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The source does not report trader counts or liquidity, and volume is not a measure of either.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not explain why any price is where it is. It also does not show whether the listed close time has changed, what happened in the match, or how any contract will settle. Only 12 of 47 markets appear here, so this snapshot cannot describe the full market for the event. Only one source was supplied, so no other platform's prices can be compared with these.

References

  1. Polymarket: FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Magdeburg - More Markets. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Saved Oct 16, 2026 UTC

Overview

This article covers the Polymarket event titled "FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Magdeburg - More Markets" [1]. The event page describes these as more markets for the DFB-Pokal game, scheduled for October 28 at 3:45 PM ET [1]. The provider lists the event status as active, with a listed end time of 2026-10-28T19:45:00.000Z [1]. The listed end time is a provider field and should be read as the contract closing time in the saved record, not as a confirmed record of the match result. The saved event includes several contract types. The included markets are first-half Over/Under lines at 0.5 and 1.5 goals, full-match Over/Under lines from 0.5 through 6.5 goals, and point spread contracts for Bayern at -3.5, -4.5 and -5.5 [1]. Each outcome is a separate yes or no style contract that trades at a price, and the Over and Under prices for a given line are reported side by side. A price on a single outcome shows where that contract was trading in the saved snapshot. It is not an executable quote, and it is not a verified probability that the outcome will occur. In the snapshot, the first-half Over 0.5 contract was priced at 0.905, and the full-match Over 2.5 contract was priced at 0.855 [1]. The Bayern -3.5 spread was priced at 0.55 for Bayern and 0.45 for Magdeburg [1]. Several lines, including Over/Under 5.5 and 6.5 and the Bayern -5.5 spread, were priced at 0.5 and 0.5 in the snapshot [1]. These figures describe the saved prices only. They do not show how prices moved, why they were set, or how they will behave before the listed end time. The saved record covers 12 of 47 markets for this event [1]. The included markets were selected by highest valid Yes price and then by volume, so the omitted contracts are not known from this record and should not be assumed to have lower prices. Volume is a measure of trading activity and is not a count of traders or a measure of liquidity.

Why It Matters

The contracts in this event measure whether the number of goals scored in a match, or in its first half, exceeds a set threshold, and whether Bayern's margin of victory exceeds a set spread [1]. Over/Under contracts are tied to goal totals at specific lines, such as 0.5, 2.5 or 3.5, while spread contracts are tied to the goal margin for the named team. These are the contract structures shown in the saved event [1]. The event is useful for understanding how a single match can be split into many related yes or no questions, each with its own price and closing time. Because the saved snapshot shows prices at one point in time, it is best read as a record of how these specific contracts were priced then. It does not indicate the eventual outcome of the DFB-Pokal match, which the supplied evidence does not report.

Snapshot context

The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]

Frequently Asked Questions

What match do these contracts relate to?

The contracts relate to FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Magdeburg, described by the provider as a DFB-Pokal game scheduled for October 28 at 3:45 PM ET [1].

What types of markets are included in this event?

The saved event includes first-half and full-match Over/Under goal contracts at several lines, along with point spread contracts for FC Bayern München at -3.5, -4.5 and -5.5 [1].

Does a price shown here mean the outcome is likely?

No. The prices are snapshots from the saved record and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities [1]. They show where a contract was priced at the time of capture, not how likely the outcome is in any verified sense.

Are all markets for this match shown?

No. The saved record includes 12 of 47 total markets for this event, selected by highest valid price and then by volume [1]. The omitted markets are not part of this sample.

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Saved Oct 16, 2026 UTC

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Reviewed equivalent pairs

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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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