Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

How many states will enact a minimum wage increase in 2027?

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How many states will enact a minimum wage increase in 2027?

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Will the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase be at least 1 in 2027?

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Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase be at least 1 in 2027?	Kalshi	71%
Will the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase be at least 2 in 2027?	Kalshi	56%
Will the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase be at least 3 in 2027?	Kalshi	43%
Will the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase be at least 4 in 2027?	Kalshi	29%
Will the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase be at least 5 in 2027?	Kalshi	15%

AI Analysis

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71%

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About This Event

in 2027 If the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase is at least X in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. X state qualifies upon enactment during 2027 of a statute or voter-approved measure that raises that state's general minimum wage above the rate prior law would have produced. Enactment requires the governor's signature, a veto override, or the measure becoming law without signature. X ballot measure qualifies on approval by voters at an election held durin

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How many states will enact a minimum wage increase in 2027?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** in 2027

If the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase is at least X in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. X state qualifies upon enactment during 2027 of a statute or voter-approved measure that raises that state's general minimum wage above the rate prior law would have produced. Enactment requires the governor's signature, a veto override, or the measure becoming law without signature. X ballot measure qualifies on approval by voters at an election held durin

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase is at least 5 in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A state qualifies upon enactment during 2027 of a statute or voter-approved measure that raises that state's general minimum wage above the rate prior "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase be at least 5 in 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase be at least 4 in 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 28.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase be at least 3 in 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase be at least 2 in 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 56.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 43.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase be at least 1 in 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 70.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 29.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics

How many states will enact a minimum wage increase in 2027?

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KALSHI

Will the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase be at least 1 in 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 70.5¢No 29.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase be at least 1 in 2027?

If the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase is at least 1 in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A state qualifies upon enactment during 2027 of a statute or voter-approved measure that raises that state's general minimum wage above the rate prior

KALSHI

Will the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase be at least 2 in 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 56.5¢No 43.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase be at least 2 in 2027?

If the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase is at least 2 in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A state qualifies upon enactment during 2027 of a statute or voter-approved measure that raises that state's general minimum wage above the rate prior

KALSHI

Will the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase be at least 3 in 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 42.5¢No 57.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase be at least 3 in 2027?

If the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase is at least 3 in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A state qualifies upon enactment during 2027 of a statute or voter-approved measure that raises that state's general minimum wage above the rate prior

KALSHI

Will the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase be at least 4 in 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 28.5¢No 71.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase be at least 4 in 2027?

If the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase is at least 4 in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A state qualifies upon enactment during 2027 of a statute or voter-approved measure that raises that state's general minimum wage above the rate prior

KALSHI

Will the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase be at least 5 in 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 14.5¢No 85.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase be at least 5 in 2027?

If the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase is at least 5 in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A state qualifies upon enactment during 2027 of a statute or voter-approved measure that raises that state's general minimum wage above the rate prior

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/54bol6" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="How many states will enact a minimum wage increase in 2027?"></iframe>

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How many states will enact a minimum wage increase in 2027?

How many states will enact a minimum wage increase in 2027?

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Will the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase be at least 1 in 2027?

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Events (1)

How many states will enact a minimum wage increase in 2027?

Markets (5)

Will the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase be at least 1 in 2027?

Will the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase be at least 1 in 2027?

Will the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase be at least 2 in 2027?

Will the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase be at least 2 in 2027?

Will the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase be at least 3 in 2027?

Will the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase be at least 3 in 2027?

Will the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase be at least 4 in 2027?

Will the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase be at least 4 in 2027?

Will the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase be at least 5 in 2027?

Will the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase be at least 5 in 2027?

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Will the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase be at least 1 in 2027?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

How many states will enact a minimum wage increase in 2027?

Will the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase be at least 1 in 2027?

Will the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase be at least 1 in 2027?

Will the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase be at least 2 in 2027?

Will the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase be at least 2 in 2027?

Will the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase be at least 3 in 2027?

Will the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase be at least 3 in 2027?

Will the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase be at least 4 in 2027?

Will the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase be at least 4 in 2027?

Will the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase be at least 5 in 2027?

Will the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase be at least 5 in 2027?

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