Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 30, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
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Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 30, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 29, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-29T12:00:06.991Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This contract covers the window stated in its title, 2:05AM to 2:10AM ET on October 30. It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules say the contract is not based on "any other sources or spot markets" [1]. The listed end time is 2026-10-30T06:10:00.000Z [1]. This is a contract closing time, not an announced event, and the supplied evidence does not show an actual resolution.
Reading the snapshot
The saved observation is timestamped 2026-10-29T12:00:06.991Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-29T14:52:22.496Z [1]. At observation, the contract was listed as active, with "Up" at 0.505 and "Down" at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. In this snapshot the two prices sum to 1.00, so they are nearly even at that moment only. The evidence includes no volume figure, and volume would not indicate liquidity in any case.
The sample covers one market from one provider event. The coverage record lists one total market, one included market, and partialSample set to false [1]. Because this is a single binary contract, there are no other outcomes in the sample to compare. The sample warning also notes that including all saved markets does not establish that providers list every possible real-world outcome [1].
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices sit where they do, and it does not show how many traders hold either side. It contains no later price, so it cannot show whether the balance has changed since the 2026-10-29 retrieval. The status of "active" is also only as of observation. Differences between this contract and other Hyperliquid contracts with different windows, wording, or close times should not be treated as an arbitrage opportunity. Readers should check the provider page and the Chainlink data stream directly before relying on any figure.
References
- Polymarket: Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 30, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-29T12:00:06.991Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 29, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-interval price contract titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 30, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET," listed in the crypto category and hosted on Polymarket [1]. The contract asks whether the price of HYPE/USD, measured over a five-minute window, finishes at or above where that window began. The listed end time is 2026-10-30T06:10:00.000Z [1]. The resolution rule is based on a time-weighted average price (TWAP) generated by Chainlink. The contract resolves to "Up" if that TWAP over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the start of the range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The cited resolution source is the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream published by Chainlink [1]. The rules state that the contract concerns the price shown in that specific Chainlink data stream for the HYPE/USD pair, and not any other sources or spot markets [1]. A reader should therefore check the named stream, rather than prices on exchanges or other venues, when following how this contract is decided. The saved record for this contract includes two outcomes, Up and Down. Its snapshot is the only market in the saved event, so the sample includes every market recorded for that event. The prices are snapshots from the observation time and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities. A price difference between this contract and any other contract is not, by itself, an opportunity to trade.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of HYPE/USD over one short window, using a single named data stream rather than a general market average [1]. Because the resolution depends on a TWAP and a starting price, the outcome reflects the average behavior across the window compared with its opening level, not simply the price at the end. The exact decision rule is stated in the source and should be read directly, since small differences in the measurement method can change the result [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-29 at 12:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What makes this contract resolve Up?
It resolves to Up if the Chainlink HYPE/USD TWAP over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
What happens if the TWAP is below the starting price?
The contract resolves to Down under the stated rule [1].
Which price data counts for resolution?
Only the Chainlink HYPE/USD TWAP data stream named in the rules counts, not other sources or spot markets [1].
When does this contract end?
The listed end time is 2026-10-30T06:10:00.000Z [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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