Snapshot observed 2026-10-24T12:00:05.917Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The Polymarket event asks which team scores first in the match between CD Castellón and SD Eibar, scheduled for November 6, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET [1]. Resolution covers only the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded [1]. If neither team scores in that window, the market resolves "Neither" [1]. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game is completed. If it is canceled with no make-up game, it resolves to "Neither" [1].

Three separate markets are saved for this event: one for Castellón scoring first, one for Eibar scoring first, and one for neither team scoring first [1]. Each lists an end time of 2026-11-06T19:30:00.000Z [1]. This is a provider field. The rules say resolution relies on official statistics, with fallback sources and a 24-hour window for acceptable data after the event [1]. Actual resolution therefore depends on those rules, not on the listed end time alone.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observation time is 2026-10-24T12:00:05.917Z. The source was retrieved at 2026-10-24T12:58:42.622Z [1]. These timestamps describe a past snapshot, not live conditions, and prices may have changed since then.

In that snapshot, the Yes price is 0.485 for Castellón to score first and 0.485 for Eibar to score first. The Yes price for neither team scoring first is 0.48 [1]. The corresponding No prices are 0.515, 0.515, and 0.52 [1]. Within each market, Yes and No prices sum to 1.00. These figures are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The evidence does not include volume, liquidity, or trader counts, so it cannot show how much activity sits behind these prices.

The three Yes prices are for alternative outcomes of one match. They should not be added or averaged into a single probability, and their closeness does not establish a forecast or an opportunity.

What remains uncertain

The coverage record lists three of three markets for this event and marks the sample as not partial [1]. The sample warning adds that inclusion of all saved markets does not establish that the provider lists every possible real-world outcome [1]. The evidence does not include price history, explanations for any movement, or pricing after the retrieval time. It also does not confirm the match result or how the market will resolve.

References

1. Polymarket: CD Castellón vs. SD Eibar - First Team to Score. Provider data observed 2026-10-24T12:00:05.917Z.