Snapshot observed 2026-10-27T09:00:05.939Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The supplied evidence covers one Polymarket event for the Esenler Erokspor vs. Ankara Keciorengucu match, described as a Turkey 1. Lig game scheduled for October 30 at 1:00 PM ET [1]. The included contracts use different wording. Some are full-match Over/Under lines at 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, and 5.5. Others are first-half Over/Under lines, including team-specific first-half lines for Esenler Erokspor and Ankara Keciorengucu. One is a spread contract titled "Spread: Ankara Keciorengucu (-1.5)," with outcomes named for each team [1]. Each contract is a separate question, so a 1.5 line and a 2.5 line should not be read as alternative answers to one question.

All included contracts list an end time of 2026-10-30T17:00:00.000Z [1]. That is the listed close time, not a record that the match has been played or that any contract has resolved. The evidence contains no resolution data.

Reading the snapshot

The snapshot was observed at 2026-10-27T09:00:05.939Z and retrieved at 2026-10-27T11:20:42.691Z [1]. These times describe when the data was captured. Prices from this snapshot should not be treated as current or as executable quotes. Within the included set, the full-match Over contract at 1.5 is quoted at 0.785, while the 2.5 Over is quoted at 0.545 and the 0.5 Over at 0.52 [1]. Many first-half and team-level contracts sit near 0.5 in the snapshot. These quoted prices are snapshot values for each contract's own wording. They do not show probabilities, and they should not be compared across different lines as if they measured one outcome.

The sample is partial. The event has 46 markets, and 12 are included [1]. Included markets were selected by Yes price descending, then volume, and the sample reports counts only for this saved event. Omitted markets should not be assumed to have lower prices. Volume is also not a measure of liquidity or trader count, and the evidence does not report trader numbers.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not explain why any price is where it is. It also does not include match news, team information, or the outcome of the game. Because only one event and one provider are supplied, no cross-platform comparison is possible. Differences in price between contracts with different wording, thresholds, or time periods do not establish an arbitrage opportunity.

References

1. Polymarket: Esenler Erokspor vs. Ankara Keciorengucu - More Markets. Provider data observed 2026-10-27T09:00:05.939Z.