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Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz: Game Spread

Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz: Game Spread
Vol

K 2.4K contracts

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Events

1

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Markets

3

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Carlos Alcaraz -1.5 games at 71.5%.

Kalshi

  1. Carlos Alcaraz -1.5 games71.5%
  2. Carlos Alcaraz -4.5 games38%
  3. Carlos Alcaraz -7.5 games9%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 2.4K contracts

Reported volume ยท provider units

3

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

About This Event

Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz (Oct 30) If the game differential in favor of Carlos Alcaraz across the full match is above X games in the Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Vienna Quarterfinal, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Vienna Quarterfinal. If the match does not occur, signaled by a ball being played, due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation, all before the match starts, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished, within two weeks. If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketSports
Erste Bank Open: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz

Erste Bank Open: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz

PM $55.3K
Erste Bank Open: Completed Match: Tommy Paul vs Carlos AlcarazYes 53%
Erste Bank Open: Tommy Paul vs Carlos AlcarazView outcomes
Set 1 Winner: Tommy Paul vs Carlos AlcarazView outcomes
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 6, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz: Exact Match Score

Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz: Exact Match Score

K 2.7K contracts
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz match by a set score of 2-0?Yes 51.5%
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz match by a set score of 2-1?Yes 23%
Will Tommy Paul win the Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz match by a set score of 2-0?Yes 11.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 13, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Australian Open Exacta

Australian Open Exacta

K 0.01 contracts
Will Jannik Sinner and Elena Rybakina both win the Australian Open?Yes 9%
Will Jannik Sinner and Aryna Sabalenka both win the Australian Open?Yes 8%
Will Carlos Alcaraz and Elena Rybakina both win the Australian Open?Yes 8%
+147 moreNext deadline Feb 15, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz: Set 1 Winner

Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz: Set 1 Winner

K 1.4K contracts
Will Carlos Alcaraz win set 1 in the Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz matchYes 69%
Will Tommy Paul win set 1 in the Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz matchYes 30.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 13, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz: Set 2 Winner

Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz: Set 2 Winner

K 0 contracts
Will Carlos Alcaraz win set 2 in the Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz matchYes 71.5%
Will Tommy Paul win set 2 in the Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz matchYes 28%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 13, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Paul vs Alcaraz

Paul vs Alcaraz

K 130.3K contracts
Carlos Alcaraz winsYes 77.5%
Tommy Paul winsYes 22.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 13, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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