Flames vs. Sharks
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1
6
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Flames vs. Sharks (Sharks win) at 57.5%.
Polymarket
- Flames vs. Sharks (Sharks win)57.5%
- Flames vs. Sharks (Flames win)42.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
6
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for November 17 at 10:00PM ET: If the Flames win, the market will resolve to "Flames". If the Sharks win, the market will resolve to "Sharks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-23T03:00:06.015Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The supplied event is "Flames vs. Sharks," an NHL game that the provider says is "scheduled for November 2 at 9:00PM ET" [1]. The main resolution rule is that "If the Flames win, the market will resolve to "Flames"" and "If the Sharks win, the market will resolve to "Sharks"" [1]. The source also says that a postponed game keeps the market open "until the game has been completed," and that a game "canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50" [1].
Overtime and shootouts count toward the result. The source states that "one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution" in a shootout [1]. The listed end time is 2026-11-03T02:00:00.000Z [1]. That is a listed close time, not confirmation of when the game will be played or when resolution will occur.
The supplied evidence includes only the event rules above. It does not include separate resolution text for the Over/Under contracts, so their exact settlement terms cannot be confirmed from this snapshot.
Reading the snapshot
The prices were observed at 2026-10-23T03:00:06.015Z and retrieved at 2026-10-23T04:23:43.213Z. They describe that earlier observation, not live conditions.
The Sharks-win contract shows Yes at 0.645 and No at 0.355. The Flames-win contract shows Yes at 0.355 and No at 0.645. These two binary contracts are complementary within the same event, so they should not be read as separate estimates to combine.
The Over/Under contracts use different lines, so their prices answer different questions. The Over prices are 0.76 at 4.5, 0.60 at 5.5, 0.455 at 6.5, and 0.285 at 7.5. Each line should be read on its own terms.
The provider reports all six saved markets for this event, with no partial sample. The sample warning states that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Because the snapshot is limited to these markets, an unlisted outcome should not be assumed to have a particular price.
These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The supplied data does not include volume or liquidity measures, so this snapshot cannot show how deep the market is.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why prices are where they are, how many traders hold each position, or whether the prices have changed since the observation time. It does not include any other platform's contracts for this game, so cross-platform comparison is not possible. Differences in wording, close times, or prices between platforms would need their own source records before any comparison.
References
- Polymarket: Flames vs. Sharks. Provider data observed 2026-10-23T03:00:06.015Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 23, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This market covers a scheduled National Hockey League game between the Calgary Flames and the San Jose Sharks. The contract rules state that the game is scheduled for November 2 at 9:00PM ET [1]. The market resolves to "Flames" if the Flames win and to "Sharks" if the Sharks win [1]. The provider lists the event as active, with a listed end time of 2026-11-03T02:00:00.000Z [1]. That listed end time is a contract field and does not confirm when the game was played or what its result was. The rules also address unusual situations. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves 50-50 [1]. The result is based on the final score, including any overtime periods and shootouts. In a shootout, one goal is added to the winning team's score for resolution purposes [1]. The saved event includes six markets. In the head-to-head pair, the Sharks win contract showed a Yes price of 0.645 and the Flames win contract showed a Yes price of 0.355 at the observation time of 2026-10-23T03:00:06.015Z [1]. The event also includes totals contracts with Over/Under lines of 4.5, 5.5, 6.5 and 7.5. The Over prices in that snapshot were 0.76, 0.6, 0.455 and 0.285 respectively [1]. These are observed prices at one point in time, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
Historical Context
The Calgary Flames' 2024-25 season was their 45th in Calgary and their 53rd as an NHL franchise, which was established on June 6, 1972 [3]. That season was overshadowed by a tragedy in which former star player Johnny Gaudreau and his brother Matthew were killed when a suspected drunk driver struck their bicycles from behind. The team dedicated the season to Johnny's memory [3]. Toffoli's background includes selection by the Los Angeles Kings in the second round, 47th overall, in the 2010 NHL entry draft, and a Stanley Cup win with the Kings in 2014. After a 2020 trade from the Kings, he also played for the Winnipeg Jets, Calgary Flames, Montreal Canadiens, New Jersey Devils and Vancouver Canucks before joining the Sharks [2].
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single outcome: which team wins this scheduled Flames vs. Sharks game under the stated rules [1]. The head-to-head contracts settle on the winner, while the Over/Under contracts are tied to the listed lines in the event [1]. The rules define how postponements, cancellations and shootouts are handled, so the settlement logic depends on those specific provisions rather than on the team's general standing [1]. Historical background about the franchises or players, such as the Flames' 2024-25 season or Toffoli's career, helps describe the teams but does not determine the contract result [2][3].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-23 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What happens if the game is postponed?
The market remains open until the game has been completed, according to the contract rules [1].
What happens if the game is canceled?
If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves 50-50 [1].
How are overtime and shootouts counted?
The result is determined from the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In a shootout, one goal is added to the winning team's score for resolution purposes [1].
Do the market prices show the chance of each team winning?
The saved prices are snapshots from one observation time, and the rules do not describe them as verified probabilities [1]. The Sharks win Yes price was 0.645 and the Flames win Yes price was 0.355 in that snapshot [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.