Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 1.66M contracts
Reported volume · provider units
80
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
About This Event
On Oct 15, 2026 at 5pm EDT
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index, BRTI, before 5 PM EDT is above X at 5 PM EDT on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index, RTI. At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
0
No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.
Price ChartContract price history
80 markets tracked
Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.
Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($79,000 or above)
No data available
Single-Platform Markets(80)
Market
Platform
Price
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($79,000 or above)
Kalshi
99.5%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($78,750 or above)
Kalshi
99.5%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($77,250 or above)
Kalshi
99.5%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($77,000 or above)
Kalshi
99.5%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($74,000 or above)
Kalshi
99.5%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($73,750 or above)
Kalshi
99.5%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($73,500 or above)
Kalshi
99.5%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($73,250 or above)
Kalshi
99.5%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($73,000 or above)
Kalshi
99.5%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($79,500 or above)
Kalshi
99.0%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($78,500 or above)
Kalshi
99.0%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($78,250 or above)
Kalshi
99.0%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($78,000 or above)
Kalshi
99.0%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($77,750 or above)
Kalshi
99.0%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($77,500 or above)
Kalshi
99.0%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($76,750 or above)
Kalshi
99.0%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($76,500 or above)
Kalshi
99.0%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($76,250 or above)
Kalshi
99.0%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($76,000 or above)
Kalshi
99.0%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($75,750 or above)
Kalshi
99.0%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($75,500 or above)
Kalshi
99.0%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($75,250 or above)
Kalshi
99.0%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($75,000 or above)
Kalshi
99.0%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($74,750 or above)
Kalshi
99.0%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($74,500 or above)
Kalshi
99.0%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($74,250 or above)
Kalshi
99.0%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($80,500 or above)
Kalshi
98.5%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($80,250 or above)
Kalshi
98.5%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($79,750 or above)
Kalshi
98.5%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($79,250 or above)
Kalshi
98.5%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($80,000 or above)
Kalshi
98.0%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($80,750 or above)
Kalshi
97.5%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($81,000 or above)
Kalshi
95.5%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($81,250 or above)
Kalshi
93.5%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($81,500 or above)
Kalshi
87.5%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($81,750 or above)
Kalshi
82.5%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($82,000 or above)
Kalshi
72.5%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($82,250 or above)
Kalshi
60.5%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($82,500 or above)
Kalshi
44.5%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($82,750 or above)
Kalshi
31.5%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($83,000 or above)
Kalshi
21.5%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($83,250 or above)
Kalshi
12.5%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($83,500 or above)
Kalshi
8.5%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($83,750 or above)
Kalshi
4.5%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($84,000 or above)
Kalshi
3.5%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($84,250 or above)
Kalshi
2.0%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($84,500 or above)
Kalshi
1.5%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($86,250 or above)
Kalshi
1.0%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($85,750 or above)
Kalshi
1.0%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($85,500 or above)
Kalshi
1.0%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($85,250 or above)
Kalshi
1.0%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($85,000 or above)
Kalshi
1.0%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($84,750 or above)
Kalshi
1.0%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($92,750 or above)
Kalshi
0.5%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($92,500 or above)
Kalshi
0.5%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($92,250 or above)
Kalshi
0.5%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($92,000 or above)
Kalshi
0.5%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($91,750 or above)
Kalshi
0.5%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($91,500 or above)
Kalshi
0.5%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($91,250 or above)
Kalshi
0.5%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($91,000 or above)
Kalshi
0.5%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($90,750 or above)
Kalshi
0.5%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($90,500 or above)
Kalshi
0.5%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($90,250 or above)
Kalshi
0.5%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($90,000 or above)
Kalshi
0.5%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($89,750 or above)
Kalshi
0.5%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($89,500 or above)
Kalshi
0.5%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($89,250 or above)
Kalshi
0.5%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($89,000 or above)
Kalshi
0.5%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($88,750 or above)
Kalshi
0.5%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($88,500 or above)
Kalshi
0.5%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($88,250 or above)
Kalshi
0.5%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($88,000 or above)
Kalshi
0.5%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($87,750 or above)
Kalshi
0.5%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($87,500 or above)
Kalshi
0.5%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($87,250 or above)
Kalshi
0.5%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($87,000 or above)
Kalshi
0.5%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($86,750 or above)
Kalshi
0.5%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($86,500 or above)
Kalshi
0.5%
Bitcoin price on Oct 15, 2026? ($86,000 or above)
Kalshi
0.5%
Rules & Resolution
Saved matching review
Needs review: no direct pair assessment is available.
A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.