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Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz: Set 1 Winner

Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz: Set 1 Winner
Vol

K 754.9 contracts

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Events

1

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Markets

2

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Carlos Alcaraz at 58.5%.

Kalshi

  1. Carlos Alcaraz58.5%
  2. Daniil Medvedev40.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 754.9 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

2

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 (Oct 31) If X wins set 1 in the Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Vienna Semifinal, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Vienna Semifinal. If the match does not occur, signaled by a ball being played, due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation, all before the match starts, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished, within two weeks. If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketSports
Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz

Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz

PM $4.0K
Erste Bank Open: Completed Match: Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos AlcarazYes 58%
Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos AlcarazView outcomes
Set 1 Winner: Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos AlcarazView outcomes
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz: Exact Match Score

Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz: Exact Match Score

K 1.6K contracts
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz match by a set score of 2-0?Yes 39.5%
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz match by a set score of 2-1?Yes 23.5%
Will Daniil Medvedev win the Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz match by a set score of 2-0?Yes 17.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 14, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz: Set 2 Winner

Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz: Set 2 Winner

K 0 contracts
Will Carlos Alcaraz win set 2 in the Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz matchYes 60.5%
Will Daniil Medvedev win set 2 in the Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz matchYes 38%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 14, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Australian Open Exacta

Australian Open Exacta

K 0.01 contracts
Will Jannik Sinner and Elena Rybakina both win the Australian Open?Yes 9.5%
Will Jannik Sinner and Aryna Sabalenka both win the Australian Open?Yes 8%
Will Carlos Alcaraz and Elena Rybakina both win the Australian Open?Yes 8%
+147 moreNext deadline Feb 15, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiSports
ATP #1 Ranked Men's Singles Player on Dec 31, 2026?

ATP #1 Ranked Men's Singles Player on Dec 31, 2026?

PM $81.5K · K 149.5K contracts

Will Alexander Zverev be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings

Kalshi: Who will be the #1 ranked ATP men's singles player on Dec 31, 2026? (Alexander Zverev)

Related contracts

PM Yes 98%Rules differK Yes 99%

Will Carlos Alcaraz be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings

Kalshi: Who will be the #1 ranked ATP men's singles player on Dec 31, 2026? (Carlos Alcaraz)

Related contracts

PM Yes <0.1%Rules differK Yes 0.5%

Will Jannik Sinner be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings

Kalshi: Who will be the #1 ranked ATP men's singles player on Dec 31, 2026? (Jannik Sinner)

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.5%Rules differK Yes 0.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz: Game Spread

Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz: Game Spread

K 510.39 contracts
Will Carlos Alcaraz win at least 3.5 more games than Daniil Medvedev?Yes 43.5%
Will Daniil Medvedev win at least 1.5 more games than Carlos Alcaraz?Yes 30%
Will Carlos Alcaraz win at least 6.5 more games than Daniil Medvedev?Yes 18.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 14, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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