Balabei Serhii vs. Horokh Roman
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Balabei Serhii vs. Horokh Roman
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
5
Saved contracts
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market refers to the table tennis match between Balabei Serhii and Horokh Roman in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 28 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Balabei Serhii' if Balabei Serhii wins against Horokh Roman. This market will resolve to 'Horokh Roman' if Horokh Roman wins against Balabei Serhii. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-22T00:00:05.980Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The saved event covers a table tennis match between Balabei Serhii and Horokh Roman in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 21 at 12:00PM ET [1]. The main market "will resolve to 'Balabei Serhii' if Balabei Serhii wins against Horokh Roman" and to "'Horokh Roman' if Horokh Roman wins against Balabei Serhii" [1].
The rules set several exceptions. If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner, the market resolves to 50-50 [1]. A walkover also resolves to 50-50 [1]. If a match begins but is not completed and one player advances due to retirement, default, or disqualification, the market resolves to that player [1].
The primary resolution source is "the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers." If final statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event concludes, "a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead" [1]. The listed end time is 2026-10-28T16:00:00.000Z [1]. That is the listed close time, not a confirmed resolution date.
The four additional markets cover total games over or under 3.5 and 4.5, and two game handicap contracts. Their wording differs from the match winner market, so they should be read separately.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-10-22T00:00:05.980Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-22T00:50:46.658Z [1]. These values describe when the data was captured, not the live state of the market now.
In this snapshot, every listed outcome is priced at 0.5 [1]. That means each side of each contract was quoted at an equal value at the observation time. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The evidence does not include order book depth, volume, or trader counts, so it says nothing about liquidity.
The two game handicap contracts list the same players in reversed order. Their matching prices do not indicate an arbitrage opportunity, and the snapshot does not show whether either contract is actually tradable at those levels.
What remains uncertain
All five saved markets are included, and the coverage record marks the sample as not partial [1]. The sample warning states that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Only one platform is in the evidence, so no cross-platform comparison is possible.
The evidence does not state whether the match was played, its result, or whether the final statistics have been published. Those facts determine resolution, and they are not in the supplied material.
References
- Polymarket: Balabei Serhii vs. Horokh Roman. Provider data observed 2026-10-22T00:00:05.980Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 22, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This PredictPedia entry covers a prediction market tied to a table tennis match between Balabei Serhii and Horokh Roman in the Setka Cup Ukraine Men event. The source describes the match as scheduled for October 21 at 12:00 PM ET, and the contract's listed end time is October 28, 2026 at 16:00 UTC [1]. The source describes the contract as a yes or no style market on the winner, with the primary resolution path set out in its rules [1]. The source excerpt does not report a match result, so this entry does not state who won. The main market asks which player wins the match. Under the rules, it resolves to the named player who wins [1]. The rules also cover unusual endings. If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond seven days from the scheduled date without a winner being determined, the market resolves to 50-50 [1]. If a match begins but is not completed and one player advances because the opponent retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances [1]. A walkover, where one player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically, also resolves to 50-50 [1]. The saved event includes four additional markets. Two are total games Over/Under markets set at 3.5 and 4.5 games. Two are game handicap markets, one framed around Balabei Serhii and one around Horokh Roman, each with a 1.5 game spread [1]. All five saved markets for this event are included in the sample, and the event record lists them as active [1]. The prices shown in the saved snapshot are 0.5 for every outcome in all five markets. That snapshot was observed at October 22, 2026, 00:00:05 UTC and retrieved at 00:50:46 UTC [1]. These are prices at that moment, not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and the snapshot does not show trading volume or liquidity.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the outcome of one scheduled table tennis match, with the main market tied to which named player wins [1]. The related Over/Under and handicap markets are tied to the same match, so they depend on how that match is played and recorded [1]. The rules also show that the contract can settle in ways other than a clear winner, including 50-50 outcomes for cancellation, ties, long delays, and walkovers, and an advance-based result for retirements, defaults, and disqualifications [1]. A user should read these rules before relying on any market, because they determine how an unusual match ending is settled [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-22 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
Who decides the result of this contract?
The primary resolution source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If those final statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead [1].
What happens if the match is not played?
If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner, the main market resolves to 50-50 [1].
What happens if a player retires during the match?
If the match begins but is not completed and one player advances because the opponent retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances [1].
Do the prices show the chance that a player wins?
The saved snapshot shows prices of 0.5 for each outcome at the observation time [1]. The price is a snapshot, not an executable quote or a verified probability, so it should not be read as a confirmed chance of winning [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.