WTI Oil Up or Down - 15 minutes
K 323.89 contracts
1
1
WTI Oil Up or Down - 15 minutes
K 323.89 contracts
1
1
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 22, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Target Price: $98.54 at 50%.
Kalshi
- Target Price: $98.5450%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 323.89 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
1
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 22, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
About This Event
Oct 22 - 11:00AM EDT to 11:15AM EDT If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for WTI Oil on Oct 22, 2026 at 11:15 AM EDT is at least the close price of the 1-minute Pyth PYTHOIL candlestick at 11:00 AM EDT on October 22, 2026 USD/|| Unit ||, then the market resolves to Yes. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-22T00:00:05.980Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Kalshi contract from the event "WTI Oil Up or Down - 15 minutes" [1]. It resolves to Yes if the close of the 1-minute WTI Oil candlestick at 8:15 PM EDT on October 21, 2026 is at least the close of the 1-minute Pyth PYTHOIL candlestick at 8:00 PM EDT that day, with the settlement value rounded to two decimal places [1]. The source also states that a 1-minute candlestick's close is the price at the end of the preceding one-minute interval, and that if no data is published for the specified time, the most recently available data will be used [1].
The displayed title, "WTI Oil price up in next 15 mins?", is a shorter label. The rules text is what determines settlement, so readers should check the full wording before comparing this contract with any other.
Reading the snapshot
The saved market shows Yes at 0.56 and No at 0.44 [1]. These are snapshot prices from the provider's observation time of 2026-10-22T00:00:05.980Z, which falls at the start of the 8:00 PM EDT reference window [1]. The source was retrieved at 2026-10-22T00:38:29.397Z [1]. Both times are earlier than the current date for this report, so the prices describe that moment only and are not live quotes.
The market is listed as active, but the excerpt also states that the listed end time is not supplied [1]. The market record shows an end date of 2026-10-29T00:15:00.000Z [1], which does not match the October 21 settlement window in the rules. The excerpt does not explain this difference, so this report does not resolve it.
Prices here are not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The saved data does not include volume or trader counts, so no statement about liquidity or participation is supported.
What remains uncertain
The excerpt contains no settlement value, no outcome, and no explanation for any price movement. It also shows the unit as a template placeholder ("USD/|| Unit ||") [1], so the unit label is unclear from the supplied text. Because this is one market from one provider event, no comparison with other platforms or contracts is included, and no conclusion about the direction of oil prices can be drawn from this snapshot.
References
- Kalshi: WTI Oil Up or Down - 15 minutes. Provider data observed 2026-10-22T00:00:05.980Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 22, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract is a short-term market on the direction of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil over a 15-minute window. The contract is titled "WTI Oil Up or Down - 15 minutes" and is listed on Kalshi [1]. Its rules describe a window running from 8:00 PM EDT to 8:15 PM EDT on October 21, 2026 [1]. WTI is a grade of crude oil, and the term is also used for the spot, futures, or assessed price of that oil. In everyday usage, WTI usually refers to the WTI Crude Oil futures contract traded on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) [2]. Spot and futures prices of WTI are used as a benchmark in oil pricing [2]. This contract does not trade the physical oil itself. It asks whether one benchmark price finishes at or above another price at the end of a short interval [1]. The settlement compares two prices. The first is the close of the 1-minute candlestick for WTI Oil at 8:15 PM EDT on October 21, 2026. The second is the close of the 1-minute Pyth PYTHOIL candlestick at 8:00 PM EDT on the same date [1]. If the first is at least the second, the market resolves to Yes [1]. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest two decimal places [1]. The rules also define candlestick timing. A candle's close is the price at the end of the one-minute interval before its timestamp. For example, the candle timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading from 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM [1]. If the designated source publishes no data for the specified time, the most recently available published data is used to resolve the market [1]. The market snapshot in this article was observed at 2026-10-22T00:00:05Z and retrieved from the provider at 2026-10-22T00:38:29Z. It lists two outcomes, Yes and No, and a status of active [1]. A snapshot records what the provider showed at one moment. It is not a live quote, an executable price, or a verified probability.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a very short-term price comparison within one benchmark oil price stream. Under the stated rules, the outcome depends on the 8:15 PM EDT WTI candle close relative to the Pyth PYTHOIL candle close at 8:00 PM EDT on October 21, 2026 [1]. Because the window is only 15 minutes, the result reflects movement between two specific timestamps rather than a broader view of oil markets. WTI serves as a benchmark in oil pricing [2], so the underlying reference is widely used. The supplied material does not explain how the contract's pricing relates to any other market, and the contract should not be read as a forecast of longer-term oil prices. Prices shown for the Yes and No outcomes are snapshots. They are not executable quotes, and the difference between prices on this or any other contract is not, by itself, an arbitrage opportunity.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-22 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does a Yes outcome require under this contract?
A Yes outcome requires the close price of the 1-minute WTI Oil candlestick at 8:15 PM EDT on October 21, 2026 to be at least the close price of the 1-minute Pyth PYTHOIL candlestick at 8:00 PM EDT on that date [1].
How is the settlement value calculated?
The settlement value is rounded to the nearest two decimal places [1]. The rules state that the close of a one-minute candle is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval [1].
What happens if the designated data is not published?
If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market [1].
What is WTI?
West Texas Intermediate is a grade or mix of crude oil, also known as Texas light sweet. The term also refers to spot, futures, or assessed prices for that oil, and spot and futures prices are used as benchmarks in oil pricing [2].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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