Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T09:00:05.974Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

This snapshot covers the Polymarket event "FC Halifax Town vs. Yeovil Town FC - More Markets," a National League match [1]. The source describes the game as "scheduled for October 31 at 8:30 AM ET" and lists an end time of 2026-10-31T12:30:00.000Z [1]. That listed end time is the close time for the contracts, not a confirmed result or resolution. The contracts are categorized as Sports and have an active provider status [1].

The contracts use different wording, so they should not be read as one question. Some are full-match Over/Under contracts at 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5 goals. Others are first-half Over/Under contracts, including separate contracts for each team at 0.5 and 1.5. The remaining contract is a spread: "Spread: Yeovil Town FC (-1.5)" [1]. Each contract has its own threshold or condition, so prices on different contracts answer different questions.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observed these markets at 2026-10-19T09:00:05.974Z, and the application retrieved the source at 2026-10-19T10:04:02.330Z [1]. The prices below describe that observation only. They are not live quotes, and they are not verified probabilities.

In the full-match Over/Under 0.5 contract, Over is 0.51 and Under is 0.49 [1]. In the Over/Under 2.5 contract, Over is 0.505 and Under is 0.495 [1]. The Over/Under 1.5 contract, the first-half 0.5 and 1.5 contracts for each team, and several higher-threshold contracts are all listed at 0.50 for both outcomes [1]. In the spread contract, Yeovil Town FC is 0.495 and FC Halifax Town is 0.505 [1].

Prices within one contract can be compared with each other. Prices across different contracts should not be combined or averaged, because they measure different outcomes. The snapshot also does not show trading volume, liquidity, or how many people took part.

What remains uncertain

This is a partial sample. The coverage record shows 46 total markets for this event, with 12 included [1]. The selection rule ranks included markets by finite Yes price, then volume [1]. The 34 omitted markets are not shown, so the sample cannot be treated as the full field. Nothing in the evidence shows how those omitted markets were priced.

The evidence also does not explain why any price is where it is, and it contains no news or context about the match. Small differences such as 0.505 versus 0.495 fall within the ordinary variation of a single observation and do not establish a clear lean. A price difference between contracts or platforms is not an arbitrage opportunity without verified executable quotes and matching terms.

References

1. Polymarket: FC Halifax Town vs. Yeovil Town FC - More Markets. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T09:00:05.974Z.