ZCash Up or Down - October 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - October 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract titled "ZCash Up or Down - October 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET" [1]. The rules state that the market "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the rules say the market is "about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-16T14:30:00.000Z [1]. That is the scheduled close recorded in the contract, not evidence of when resolution will be announced or completed.
Reading the snapshot
The saved market shows two outcomes: "Up" at 0.5 and "Down" at 0.5 [1]. These are prices from a snapshot observed at 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z and retrieved at 2026-10-15T18:24:29.877Z [1]. They are not live quotes, executable prices, or verified probabilities, and they do not show the price at the time you read this page.
Because the snapshot records a single contract, there is no comparison across platforms or other contracts here. The two outcomes are complementary within this one market, so the equal prices describe only how the market was quoted at the observation time. The evidence does not include volume, liquidity, or trader counts, so nothing can be concluded about depth or participation.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not say whether the status "active" has changed since retrieval, and it does not report any current price. The sample is complete for this saved event: the coverage record lists one market, all included, with no partial sample [1]. That still does not establish that the provider lists every possible outcome for this question.
The evidence also gives no explanation for the observed prices and no information about the underlying ZEC/USD movement during the window. Readers should check the contract rules and the Chainlink stream directly for the resolution mechanics before relying on any interpretation.
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - October 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 15, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-duration price contract on ZCash (ZEC) listed on Polymarket under the title "ZCash Up or Down - October 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET" [1]. The contract covers a 15-minute window on October 16 from 10:15 to 10:30 AM Eastern Time. Its category is listed as Crypto [1]. The contract is not a forecast of a long-term price. It asks whether the asset's average price over one short window ends up at or above where that window began. The resolution rule is based on a time-weighted average price (TWAP) for ZEC/USD. The source states that the market resolves to "Up" if the TWAP over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. Because the rule compares an average over the window with the starting price, a price that rises and then falls back may still resolve "Up" if the average stays at or above the starting level. The reverse is also possible. The source names Chainlink as the resolution source and specifies the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second interval [1]. The rules state that only this Chainlink data stream counts, not other sources or spot markets [1]. A trader reading the contract therefore needs to track that specific data feed rather than a general ZEC price quote. The listing shows two outcomes, Up and Down [1]. The provider's status at retrieval was active, and the listed end time is 2026-10-16T14:30:00.000Z [1]. The retrieval time was 2026-10-15T18:24 UTC, so the contract had not reached its listed end time when this record was retrieved. Any outcome would be determined only after the window closes and the data stream records the relevant values.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP over a specific 15-minute window is at or above the price at the start of that window [1]. It is a narrow question about short-term movement under a defined data feed. Participants reading the price of either outcome need to understand that the answer depends on the averaging method, the start-of-window reference, and the named data stream, not on any other ZEC price source [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-15 at 16:13 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What makes the contract resolve Up?
The contract resolves to Up if the time-weighted average price of ZEC over the stated window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that window, based on the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP data stream [1].
What makes the contract resolve Down?
If the time-weighted average price over the window is below the price at the start of the window, the contract resolves to Down [1].
Which price data counts for resolution?
The rules specify the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second interval, and state that other sources or spot markets are not used [1].
When does the contract end?
The listed end time is 2026-10-16T14:30:00.000Z, which corresponds to the close of the 10:15 to 10:30 AM ET window on October 16 [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
