USL Championship: 2026 Winner
PM $519
1
25
USL Championship: 2026 Winner
PM $519
1
25
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 21, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Sporting Club Jacksonville at 49.5%.
Polymarket
- Sporting Club Jacksonville49.5%
- El Paso Locomotive FC47.5%
- Monterey Bay FC47.5%
- Indy Eleven47.5%
- Las Vegas Lights FC47.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $519
Reported volume · provider units
25
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the champion of the USL Championship for the 2026 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of USL Championship for the 2026 season per the rules of USL Championship (e.g., the participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the USL Championship; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T09:00:05.974Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
Each market in this set asks whether a specific club will win the 2026 USL Championship. The source rules say a market "will resolve to 'Yes' if the listed club is determined as the champion of the USL Championship for the 2026 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to 'No'" [1]. A listed club is also resolved "No" if it becomes impossible for it to be named champion, such as through elimination [1].
The rules include several special cases. If multiple teams are declared winners, the market "will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically" [1]. If the event is cancelled, or is postponed "after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET," or if no champion is declared in that window, the market "will resolve to 'Other'" [1]. An "Other" resolution is not a "Yes" or "No" result, and this snapshot does not include a price for that outcome.
The rules also state that the resolution source is "official information from the USL Championship," and that "a consensus of credible reporting may also be used" [1]. The listed end time is 2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z, written in UTC, while the postponement deadline is written in ET [1].
Reading the snapshot
The saved observation time is 2026-10-19T09:00:05.974Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-19T09:59:33.602Z [1]. These are two different timestamps, and neither confirms the contract's current status at the time you read this.
The sample covers 12 of 25 markets from one provider event, so it is a partial sample [1]. Within the included markets, every club shows a Yes price of 0.495 and a No price of 0.505. Because the prices are identical, this snapshot does not distinguish between the included clubs. Prices are snapshots, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The omitted 13 markets are not known to be lower or higher. They are simply outside this sample.
Volume is not included in the displayed comparison, so this snapshot does not support conclusions about liquidity or trader participation.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show why these prices are set at these levels, and it does not provide news about the season, standings, or the status of any club beyond the provider's "active" label [1]. The only source is a single provider event, so the set cannot be compared with other platforms or other events. Contracts with different wording, end times, or resolution rules should not be treated as equivalent.
References
- Polymarket: USL Championship: 2026 Winner. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T09:00:05.974Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTCOverview
The USL Championship: 2026 Winner contract on Polymarket asks whether a listed club will be determined as champion of the USL Championship for the 2026 season [1]. The saved event contains a separate Yes or No market for each listed club, and a Yes outcome applies only to the club named in that market [1]. The contract includes several resolution rules. If a listed participant can no longer be named champion under the league's rules, for example because it has been eliminated, that club's market resolves to No [1]. If multiple teams are declared winners, the market resolves in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically [1]. If the event is cancelled, postponed beyond the stated date, or no champion is declared within that timeframe, the market resolves to Other rather than Yes or No [1]. The stated resolution source is official information from the USL Championship, although a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1]. The provider lists an end time of 2027-01-01 04:59 UTC for these markets. That time corresponds to the contract's December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET cutoff for postponement and champion declaration. It is a date written in the contract rules, not an announced date for a match, decision, or other event.
Historical Context
The 2026 USL Championship season is described as the 16th season of the league and the ninth under Division II sanctioning [2]. The preceding 2025 season was the 15th season of the USL Championship, the eighth under Division II sanctioning, and the 30th season overall of a national division 2 league in the United States [3]. These sources describe past and scheduled season structure as background only. They do not establish the current standings or the status of any club in the 2026 season.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single outcome: whether a given club is named champion for the 2026 season under the rules quoted in the event [1]. Because each club has its own market, a reader can compare the clubs shown, but each market answers a separate question. The saved event reports 25 total markets and includes 12 of them in this sample, ranked by highest finite Yes price, so the included rows are not the full field of clubs [1]. Ranking across different provider events is not meaningful, and the omitted clubs should not be assumed to have any particular price. Prices in such a snapshot reflect what was reported at observation time and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-19 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does a Yes outcome mean in this contract?
A Yes outcome resolves if the listed club is determined as champion of the USL Championship for the 2026 season [1].
What happens if a listed team is eliminated?
If it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named champion under the league's rules, its corresponding market resolves to No [1].
What happens if more than one team is declared a winner?
The market resolves in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically [1].
When does the contract resolve to Other?
It resolves to Other if the event is cancelled, postponed after the stated December 31, 2026 cutoff, or if no champion is declared within that timeframe [1].
What sources decide the outcome?
The stated resolution source is official information from the USL Championship, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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