Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 1.1K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
40
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
About This Event
Oct 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above X USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
0
No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.
Price ChartContract price history
40 markets tracked
Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.
Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.
Will the gold close price be above 3874.99 USD/t.oz on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
No data available
Single-Platform Markets(40)
Market
Platform
Price
Will the gold close price be above 3874.99 USD/t.oz on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
98.5%
Will the gold close price be above 3914.99 USD/t.oz on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
98.0%
Will the gold close price be above 3894.99 USD/t.oz on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
98.0%
Will the gold close price be above 3934.99 USD/t.oz on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
97.0%
Will the gold close price be above 3954.99 USD/t.oz on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
96.5%
Will the gold close price be above 3994.99 USD/t.oz on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
96.0%
Will the gold close price be above 3974.99 USD/t.oz on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
96.0%
Will the gold close price be above 3834.99 USD/t.oz on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
94.5%
Will the gold close price be above 3814.99 USD/t.oz on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
94.5%
Will the gold close price be above 3794.99 USD/t.oz on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
94.5%
Will the gold close price be above 3774.99 USD/t.oz on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
94.5%
Will the gold close price be above 3754.99 USD/t.oz on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
94.5%
Will the gold close price be above 4014.99 USD/t.oz on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
94.0%
Will the gold close price be above 3854.99 USD/t.oz on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
94.0%
Will the gold close price be above 4034.99 USD/t.oz on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
92.5%
Will the gold close price be above 4054.99 USD/t.oz on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
88.5%
Will the gold close price be above 4074.99 USD/t.oz on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
83.5%
Will the gold close price be above 4094.99 USD/t.oz on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
78.5%
Will the gold close price be above 4114.99 USD/t.oz on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
74.5%
Will the gold close price be above 4134.99 USD/t.oz on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
63.0%
Will the gold close price be above 4154.99 USD/t.oz on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
53.5%
Will the gold close price be above 4174.99 USD/t.oz on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
46.5%
Will the gold close price be above 4194.99 USD/t.oz on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
35.0%
Will the gold close price be above 4214.99 USD/t.oz on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
27.5%
Will the gold close price be above 4234.99 USD/t.oz on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
20.5%
Will the gold close price be above 4254.99 USD/t.oz on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
14.5%
Will the gold close price be above 4274.99 USD/t.oz on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
10.5%
Will the gold close price be above 4294.99 USD/t.oz on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
7.0%
Will the gold close price be above 4314.99 USD/t.oz on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
5.0%
Will the gold close price be above 4334.99 USD/t.oz on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
4.0%
Will the gold close price be above 4374.99 USD/t.oz on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
3.5%
Will the gold close price be above 4354.99 USD/t.oz on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
3.5%
Will the gold close price be above 4434.99 USD/t.oz on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
2.0%
Will the gold close price be above 4414.99 USD/t.oz on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
2.0%
Will the gold close price be above 4394.99 USD/t.oz on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
2.0%
Will the gold close price be above 4454.99 USD/t.oz on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
1.5%
Will the gold close price be above 4514.99 USD/t.oz on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
1.0%
Will the gold close price be above 4494.99 USD/t.oz on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
1.0%
Will the gold close price be above 4474.99 USD/t.oz on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
1.0%
Will the gold close price be above 4534.99 USD/t.oz on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
0.5%
Rules & Resolution
Saved matching review
Needs review: no direct pair assessment is available.
A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.